Siberia Diversion
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 12 (5 on the archive and 7 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American (USMC)): 7
Defender wins (Communist Chinese): 5
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 947 | 1207 | 18% | 2023-05-20 | Lost |
| 918 | 1011 | 37% | 2020-08-31 | Won |
| 1091 | 1106 | 48% | 2020-05-07 | Lost |
| 971 | 1133 | 28% | 2019-01-04 | Lost |
| 985 | 984 | 50% | 2018-12-08 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 982.4 vs 1088.2 has a 35.23% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).