Siberia Diversion
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 12 (5 on the archive and 7 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American (USMC)): 4
Defender wins (Communist Chinese): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1126 | 1170 | 44% | 2023-05-20 | | Lost |
| 967 | 1015 | 43% | 2020-08-31 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1103 | 36% | 2020-05-07 | | Lost |
| 970 | 1133 | 28% | 2019-01-04 | | Lost |
| 997 | 984 | 52% | 2018-12-08 | | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1012 vs 1081 has a 40.2% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).