Fahrenheit 352
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 96 (28 on the archive and 68 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 44
Defender wins (German): 52
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1315 | 986 | 87% | 2026-08-21 | | Won |
| 966 | 1085 | 34% | 2024-12-22 | | Lost |
| 992 | 1000 | 49% | 2023-11-15 | | Lost |
| 1202 | 1073 | 68% | 2022-11-05 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1033 | 45% | 2022-07-15 | | Won |
| 1108 | 1031 | 61% | 2022-06-11 | | Lost |
| 1042 | 989 | 58% | 2021-06-24 | | Won |
| 1164 | 1045 | 66% | 2021-01-31 | | Lost |
| 987 | 987 | 50% | 2020-08-08 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 940 | 59% | 2019-12-14 | | Won |
| 963 | 1226 | 18% | 2019-06-10 | | Lost |
| 1218 | 1152 | 59% | 2019-06-06 | | Lost |
| 1218 | 1091 | 68% | 2019-06-05 | | Lost |
| 1143 | 1080 | 59% | 2019-06-01 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1058 | 42% | 2019-04-29 | | Lost |
| 1138 | 1000 | 69% | 2019-04-24 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1149 | 30% | 2019-03-02 | | Lost |
| 876 | 1062 | 26% | 2019-02-28 | | Lost |
| 1152 | 1092 | 59% | 2019-01-31 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1040 | 44% | 2018-12-28 | | Lost |
| 1208 | 1000 | 77% | 2018-12-10 | | Lost |
| 1008 | 1226 | 22% | 2018-11-24 | | Lost |
| 1120 | 1000 | 67% | 2018-11-17 | | Lost |
| 1146 | 850 | 85% | 2018-11-12 | | Won |
| 986 | 1242 | 19% | 2018-11-12 | | Lost |
| 1056 | 981 | 61% | 2018-10-03 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1086 | 38% | | | Won |
| 1000 | 1086 | 38% | | | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1071.7 vs 1056.8 has a 52.15% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).