Fahrenheit 352
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 91 (26 on the archive and 65 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 38
Defender wins (German): 53
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1022 | 1021 | 50% | 2024-12-22 | Lost |
| 991 | 967 | 53% | 2023-11-15 | Lost |
| 1105 | 1051 | 58% | 2022-11-05 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1051 | 49% | 2022-07-15 | Won |
| 1096 | 1015 | 61% | 2022-06-11 | Lost |
| 1060 | 989 | 60% | 2021-06-24 | Won |
| 1163 | 1045 | 66% | 2021-01-31 | Lost |
| 1123 | 1123 | 50% | 2020-08-08 | Lost |
| 1017 | 927 | 63% | 2019-12-14 | Won |
| 1043 | 1226 | 26% | 2019-06-10 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1189 | 54% | 2019-06-06 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1163 | 58% | 2019-06-05 | Lost |
| 1078 | 1028 | 57% | 2019-06-01 | Won |
| 1097 | 1110 | 48% | 2019-04-29 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1133 | 51% | 2019-04-24 | Won |
| 1010 | 1099 | 37% | 2019-03-02 | Lost |
| 876 | 1070 | 25% | 2019-02-28 | Lost |
| 1189 | 1091 | 64% | 2019-01-31 | Lost |
| 967 | 1028 | 41% | 2018-12-28 | Lost |
| 1141 | 967 | 73% | 2018-12-10 | Lost |
| 1008 | 1226 | 22% | 2018-11-24 | Lost |
| 1106 | 1086 | 53% | 2018-11-17 | Lost |
| 1133 | 858 | 83% | 2018-11-12 | Won |
| 1039 | 963 | 61% | 2018-10-03 | Lost |
| 1089 | 1103 | 48% | | Won |
| 1089 | 1103 | 48% | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1079.3 vs 1062.8 has a 52.38% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).