Fahrenheit 352
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 92 (27 on the archive and 65 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 41
Defender wins (German): 51
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 986 | 1057 | 40% | 2024-12-22 | Lost |
| 993 | 991 | 50% | 2023-11-15 | Lost |
| 1186 | 1074 | 66% | 2022-11-05 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1024 | 53% | 2022-07-15 | Won |
| 1107 | 1015 | 63% | 2022-06-11 | Lost |
| 1041 | 989 | 57% | 2021-06-24 | Won |
| 1163 | 1044 | 66% | 2021-01-31 | Lost |
| 1089 | 1089 | 50% | 2020-08-08 | Lost |
| 1103 | 928 | 73% | 2019-12-14 | Won |
| 983 | 1226 | 20% | 2019-06-10 | Lost |
| 1217 | 1177 | 56% | 2019-06-06 | Lost |
| 1217 | 1191 | 54% | 2019-06-05 | Lost |
| 1143 | 1045 | 64% | 2019-06-01 | Won |
| 1097 | 1058 | 56% | 2019-04-29 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1131 | 51% | 2019-04-24 | Won |
| 1010 | 1086 | 39% | 2019-03-02 | Lost |
| 876 | 1075 | 24% | 2019-02-28 | Lost |
| 1177 | 1084 | 63% | 2019-01-31 | Lost |
| 991 | 1019 | 46% | 2018-12-28 | Lost |
| 1248 | 991 | 81% | 2018-12-10 | Lost |
| 1008 | 1226 | 22% | 2018-11-24 | Lost |
| 1123 | 1066 | 58% | 2018-11-17 | Lost |
| 1116 | 851 | 82% | 2018-11-12 | Won |
| 975 | 1283 | 15% | 2018-11-12 | Lost |
| 1055 | 978 | 61% | 2018-10-03 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1032 | 50% | | Won |
| 1032 | 1032 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1079.6 vs 1065.3 has a 52.07% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).