Fahrenheit 352
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 91 (26 on the archive and 65 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 41
Defender wins (German): 50
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 999 | 1045 | 43% | 2024-12-22 | Lost |
| 995 | 1010 | 48% | 2023-11-15 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1051 | 56% | 2022-11-05 | Lost |
| 1045 | 1074 | 46% | 2022-07-15 | Won |
| 1096 | 1015 | 61% | 2022-06-11 | Lost |
| 1060 | 982 | 61% | 2021-06-24 | Won |
| 1163 | 1044 | 66% | 2021-01-31 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1058 | 50% | 2020-08-08 | Lost |
| 1017 | 998 | 53% | 2019-12-14 | Won |
| 1032 | 1223 | 25% | 2019-06-10 | Lost |
| 1221 | 1234 | 48% | 2019-06-06 | Lost |
| 1221 | 1166 | 58% | 2019-06-05 | Lost |
| 1078 | 1037 | 56% | 2019-06-01 | Won |
| 1097 | 1110 | 48% | 2019-04-29 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1132 | 51% | 2019-04-24 | Won |
| 1010 | 1100 | 37% | 2019-03-02 | Lost |
| 876 | 1118 | 20% | 2019-02-28 | Lost |
| 1234 | 1090 | 70% | 2019-01-31 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1010 | 50% | 2018-12-28 | Lost |
| 1157 | 1010 | 70% | 2018-12-10 | Lost |
| 1007 | 1223 | 22% | 2018-11-24 | Lost |
| 1107 | 1087 | 53% | 2018-11-17 | Lost |
| 1128 | 858 | 83% | 2018-11-12 | Won |
| 1039 | 964 | 61% | 2018-10-03 | Lost |
| 1085 | 1085 | 50% | | Won |
| 1085 | 1085 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1079 vs 1069.6 has a 51.35% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).