Magnificent Beasts of Prey
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 45 (13 on the archive and 32 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 6
Defender wins (German (SS)): 38
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 1
Defender wins (German (SS)): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 973 | 1061 | 38% | 2024-05-26 | Won |
| 776 | 1217 | 7% | 2023-06-03 | Lost |
| 931 | 1038 | 35% | 2022-06-21 | Lost |
| 911 | 1036 | 33% | 2022-04-30 | Lost |
| 1082 | 1082 | 50% | 2019-12-15 | Lost |
| 1042 | 950 | 63% | 2019-12-05 | Lost |
| 927 | 1223 | 15% | 2019-11-05 | Lost |
| 1116 | 1172 | 42% | 2019-07-31 | Lost |
| 1061 | 1000 | 59% | 2019-06-07 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1254 | 33% | 2019-05-04 | Lost |
| 910 | 1061 | 30% | 2019-02-26 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1024 | 59% | 2019-01-23 | Lost |
| 1091 | 1157 | 41% | 2018-10-02 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1002.8 vs 1098.1 has a 36.63% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).