Bloody Nose
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 17 (9 on the archive and 9 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Axis (Romanian/German)): 9
Defender wins (Russian): 8
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Axis (Romanian/German)): 1
Defender wins (Russian): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 974 | 1070 | 37% | 2026-02-01 | D | Won |
| 966 | 1000 | 45% | 2025-04-25 | | Lost |
| 951 | 1088 | 31% | 2022-10-16 | | Won |
| 1174 | 983 | 75% | 2022-06-17 | | Lost |
| 949 | 1000 | 43% | 2021-12-25 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1082 | 38% | 2021-08-13 | | Won |
| 966 | 1092 | 33% | 2020-04-11 | | Lost |
| 971 | 966 | 51% | 2018-12-01 | | Lost |
| 907 | 1085 | 26% | 2018-11-17 | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 984.2 vs 1040.7 has a 41.95% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).