Bloody Nose
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 18 (9 on the archive and 9 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Axis (Romanian/German)): 9
Defender wins (Russian): 8
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Axis (Romanian/German)): 1
Defender wins (Russian): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1039 | 1027 | 52% | 2026-02-01 | Won |
| 889 | 1055 | 28% | 2025-04-25 | Lost |
| 997 | 1046 | 43% | 2022-10-16 | Won |
| 1077 | 1009 | 60% | 2022-06-17 | Lost |
| 948 | 973 | 46% | 2021-12-25 | Won |
| 1037 | 1037 | 50% | 2021-08-13 | Won |
| 967 | 1092 | 33% | 2020-04-11 | Lost |
| 970 | 967 | 50% | 2018-12-01 | Lost |
| 930 | 1102 | 27% | 2018-11-17 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 983.8 vs 1034.2 has a 42.79% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).