Bloody Nose
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 17 (8 on the archive and 9 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Axis (Romanian/German)): 9
Defender wins (Russian): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 927 | 980 | 42% | 2025-04-25 | Lost |
| 1022 | 1021 | 50% | 2022-10-16 | Won |
| 947 | 1009 | 41% | 2022-06-17 | Lost |
| 946 | 967 | 47% | 2021-12-25 | Won |
| 1029 | 1029 | 50% | 2021-08-13 | Won |
| 951 | 1091 | 31% | 2020-04-11 | Lost |
| 970 | 951 | 53% | 2018-12-01 | Lost |
| 877 | 1198 | 14% | 2018-11-17 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 958.6 vs 1030.8 has a 39.77% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).