Operation Schwarz
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 14 (8 on the archive and 6 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Croatian): 6
Defender wins (Partisan (NOVJ)): 7
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Croatian): 1
Defender wins (Partisan (NOVJ)): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1039 | 1027 | 52% | 2026-01-20 | Lost |
| 997 | 1046 | 43% | 2024-04-03 | Won |
| 993 | 976 | 52% | 2022-11-02 | Lost |
| 993 | 976 | 52% | 2022-10-18 | Lost |
| 948 | 991 | 44% | 2022-05-31 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1098 | 68% | 2021-05-01 | Won |
| 1081 | 969 | 66% | 2020-05-01 | Lost |
| 1063 | 1072 | 49% | 2010-08-07 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1042.5 vs 1019.4 has a 53.32% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).