Operation Schwarz
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 13 (7 on the archive and 6 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Croatian): 6
Defender wins (Partisan (NOVJ)): 6
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Croatian): 1
Defender wins (Partisan (NOVJ)): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 999 | 1045 | 43% | 2024-04-03 | Won |
| 997 | 1049 | 43% | 2022-11-02 | Lost |
| 997 | 1049 | 43% | 2022-10-18 | Lost |
| 946 | 961 | 48% | 2022-05-31 | Lost |
| 1192 | 965 | 79% | 2021-05-01 | Won |
| 1044 | 960 | 62% | 2020-05-01 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1098 | 45% | 2010-08-07 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1034.1 vs 1018.1 has a 52.3% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).