Mars Begins
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 4
Attacker wins (Russian): 1
Defender wins (German): 3
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1120 | 1056 | 59% | 2022-07-05 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1100 | 36% | 2020-10-24 | | Lost |
| 950 | 1000 | 43% | 2019-10-08 | | Lost |
| 1085 | 987 | 64% | 2019-09-25 | | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1038.8 vs 1035.8 has a 50.43% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).