Mars Begins
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 14 (5 on the archive and 9 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 8
Defender wins (German): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1110 | 1043 | 60% | 2022-07-05 | Won |
| 1189 | 959 | 79% | 2022-01-24 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1136 | 52% | 2020-10-24 | Lost |
| 949 | 868 | 61% | 2019-10-08 | Lost |
| 1219 | 910 | 86% | 2019-09-25 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1123.8 vs 983.2 has a 69.2% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).