Lesson Learned in Lessin
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 11 (5 on the archive and 6 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 8
Defender wins (German): 3
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1175 | 1024 | 70% | 2025-08-30 | Won |
| 1140 | 1187 | 43% | 2025-08-30 | Won |
| 1176 | 1171 | 51% | 2022-02-24 | Lost |
| 1057 | 1171 | 34% | 2019-10-12 | Won |
| 1152 | 1100 | 57% | 2019-10-09 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1140 vs 1130.6 has a 51.35% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).