One Down, Two to Go
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 9
Attacker wins (German ): 3
Defender wins (Russian): 5
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1016 | 1016 | 50% | 2023-08-02 | Lost |
| 982 | 982 | 50% | 2023-08-02 | Lost |
| 1158 | 1063 | 63% | 2022-08-12 | Won |
| 1176 | 1163 | 52% | 2021-01-12 | Lost |
| 1181 | 898 | 84% | 2020-12-27 | Won |
| 1181 | 898 | 84% | 2020-12-27 | Won |
| 949 | 878 | 60% | 2019-08-06 | Tied |
| 970 | 1127 | 29% | 2019-03-15 | Lost |
| 877 | 1118 | 20% | 2019-01-18 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1054.4 vs 1015.9 has a 55.53% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).