One Down, Two to Go
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 9
Attacker wins (German ): 3
Defender wins (Russian): 5
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1043 | 994 | 57% | 2023-08-02 | Lost |
| 1025 | 1025 | 50% | 2023-08-02 | Lost |
| 1210 | 1165 | 56% | 2022-08-12 | Won |
| 1176 | 1163 | 52% | 2021-01-12 | Lost |
| 1219 | 869 | 88% | 2020-12-27 | Won |
| 1219 | 869 | 88% | 2020-12-27 | Won |
| 1032 | 877 | 71% | 2019-08-06 | Tied |
| 967 | 1157 | 25% | 2019-03-15 | Lost |
| 900 | 1114 | 23% | 2019-01-18 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1087.9 vs 1025.9 has a 58.83% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).