Turned Away
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 236 (10 on the archive and 226 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 132
Defender wins (Russian): 103
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1217 | 1156 | 59% | 2025-09-27 | | Won |
| 1000 | 892 | 65% | 2022-08-13 | | Tied |
| 1172 | 1006 | 72% | 2021-11-22 | | Won |
| 971 | 1038 | 40% | 2021-03-26 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1164 | 28% | 2021-01-29 | | Lost |
| 1037 | 1129 | 37% | 2020-10-24 | | Won |
| 1000 | 971 | 54% | 2020-07-19 | | Won |
| 1139 | 1009 | 68% | 2019-10-31 | | Won |
| 927 | 1090 | 28% | 2019-03-09 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1138 | 31% | 2019-03-06 | | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1046.3 vs 1059.3 has a 48.13% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).