The Martinofen
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 34 (12 on the archive and 22 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 21
Defender wins (Russian): 13
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1248 | 994 | 81% | 2025-01-05 | Won |
| 959 | 1051 | 37% | 2023-02-01 | Won |
| 1189 | 959 | 79% | 2022-08-12 | Won |
| 1023 | 1021 | 50% | 2022-06-28 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1074 | 52% | 2022-01-24 | Won |
| 1111 | 984 | 68% | 2021-11-21 | Won |
| 1176 | 1163 | 52% | 2021-02-27 | Lost |
| 971 | 892 | 61% | 2021-01-04 | Lost |
| 879 | 1140 | 18% | 2020-04-11 | Won |
| 899 | 952 | 42% | 2019-09-19 | Won |
| 1043 | 1110 | 40% | 2019-02-16 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1121 | 49% | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1058.6 vs 1038.4 has a 52.9% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).