The Martinofen
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 36 (13 on the archive and 23 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 22
Defender wins (Russian): 13
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Russian): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1076 | 966 | 65% | 2025-01-05 | Won |
| 961 | 1038 | 39% | 2023-02-01 | Won |
| 1174 | 1114 | 59% | 2022-08-12 | Won |
| 1008 | 1034 | 46% | 2022-06-28 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1066 | 50% | 2022-01-24 | Won |
| 1117 | 968 | 70% | 2021-11-21 | Won |
| 1176 | 1163 | 52% | 2021-02-27 | Lost |
| 971 | 892 | 61% | 2021-01-04 | Lost |
| 924 | 1073 | 30% | 2020-04-11 | Won |
| 1102 | 956 | 70% | 2019-09-19 | Won |
| 932 | 965 | 45% | 2019-02-24 | Won |
| 1056 | 1120 | 41% | 2019-02-16 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1095 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1050.6 vs 1034.6 has a 52.3% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).