20 Years Later
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 32 (18 on the archive and 14 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French): 16
Defender wins (German): 14
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1180 | 1141 | 56% | 2025-03-22 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1031 | 50% | 2024-09-09 | Won |
| 952 | 1156 | 24% | 2024-05-24 | Won |
| 1094 | 759 | 87% | 2023-08-02 | Lost |
| 1193 | 1066 | 68% | 2023-04-29 | Lost |
| 1082 | 1139 | 42% | 2022-01-26 | Won |
| 1080 | 1317 | 20% | 2021-03-20 | Lost |
| 1427 | 1431 | 49% | 2021-01-29 | Lost |
| 972 | 1218 | 20% | 2020-04-23 | Lost |
| 1218 | 972 | 80% | 2020-04-23 | Lost |
| 939 | 1167 | 21% | 2020-03-31 | Won |
| 1002 | 1087 | 38% | 2020-01-22 | Won |
| 939 | 1167 | 21% | 2020-01-14 | Tied |
| 1167 | 939 | 79% | 2020-01-14 | Tied |
| 989 | 1221 | 21% | 2019-11-27 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1043 | 57% | 2019-10-19 | Lost |
| 759 | 1094 | 13% | 2019-08-04 | Lost |
| 1210 | 1221 | 48% | 2019-05-15 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1073.8 vs 1120.5 has a 43.32% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).