20 Years Later
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 32 (18 on the archive and 14 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French): 16
Defender wins (German): 14
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1177 | 1139 | 55% | 2025-03-22 | Lost |
| 1065 | 1065 | 50% | 2024-09-09 | Won |
| 1050 | 970 | 61% | 2024-05-24 | Won |
| 1037 | 784 | 81% | 2023-08-02 | Lost |
| 1198 | 1063 | 69% | 2023-04-29 | Lost |
| 1082 | 1139 | 42% | 2022-01-26 | Won |
| 1067 | 1266 | 24% | 2021-03-20 | Lost |
| 1427 | 1431 | 49% | 2021-01-29 | Lost |
| 1001 | 1188 | 25% | 2020-04-23 | Lost |
| 1188 | 1001 | 75% | 2020-04-23 | Lost |
| 998 | 1083 | 38% | 2020-03-31 | Won |
| 1028 | 1162 | 32% | 2020-01-22 | Won |
| 998 | 1083 | 38% | 2020-01-14 | Tied |
| 1083 | 998 | 62% | 2020-01-14 | Tied |
| 989 | 1218 | 21% | 2019-11-27 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1044 | 49% | 2019-10-19 | Lost |
| 784 | 1037 | 19% | 2019-08-04 | Lost |
| 1192 | 1218 | 46% | 2019-05-15 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1077.8 vs 1104.9 has a 46.11% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).