20 Years Later
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 32 (18 on the archive and 14 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French): 16
Defender wins (German): 14
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1179 | 1140 | 56% | 2025-03-22 | Lost |
| 1085 | 1085 | 50% | 2024-09-09 | Won |
| 1078 | 945 | 68% | 2024-05-24 | Won |
| 1027 | 778 | 81% | 2023-08-02 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1064 | 61% | 2023-04-29 | Lost |
| 1082 | 1139 | 42% | 2022-01-26 | Won |
| 1081 | 1303 | 22% | 2021-03-20 | Lost |
| 1427 | 1431 | 49% | 2021-01-29 | Lost |
| 985 | 1218 | 21% | 2020-04-23 | Lost |
| 1218 | 985 | 79% | 2020-04-23 | Lost |
| 980 | 1105 | 33% | 2020-03-31 | Won |
| 1013 | 980 | 55% | 2020-01-22 | Won |
| 980 | 1105 | 33% | 2020-01-14 | Tied |
| 1105 | 980 | 67% | 2020-01-14 | Tied |
| 989 | 1199 | 23% | 2019-11-27 | Lost |
| 1027 | 1043 | 48% | 2019-10-19 | Lost |
| 778 | 1027 | 19% | 2019-08-04 | Lost |
| 1210 | 1199 | 52% | 2019-05-15 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1076.9 vs 1095.9 has a 47.28% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).