Prelude to Bodange
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 8 (5 on the archive and 3 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 3
Defender wins (Belgian): 5
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 993 | 989 | 51% | 2021-04-27 | Won |
| 985 | 1218 | 21% | 2020-11-05 | Lost |
| 727 | 1140 | 8% | 2020-10-29 | Lost |
| 974 | 956 | 53% | 2019-11-12 | Lost |
| 1136 | 1226 | 37% | 2019-10-13 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 963 vs 1105.8 has a 30.53% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).