Red Horse Recon
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 82 (21 on the archive and 61 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 41
Defender wins (German): 41
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1086 | 1013 | 60% | 2025-04-12 | | Won |
| 940 | 1000 | 41% | 2025-03-02 | | Lost |
| 891 | 1128 | 20% | 2023-01-14 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1140 | 31% | 2022-06-17 | | Lost |
| 1037 | 1129 | 37% | 2021-08-13 | | Won |
| 1219 | 1064 | 71% | 2021-06-19 | | Won |
| 924 | 1172 | 19% | 2021-02-26 | | Lost |
| 924 | 1140 | 22% | 2021-02-14 | | Lost |
| 1031 | 1056 | 46% | 2021-02-13 | | Won |
| 1132 | 1000 | 68% | 2020-02-28 | | Won |
| 1263 | 953 | 86% | 2020-02-08 | | Won |
| 1098 | 1000 | 64% | 2020-01-30 | | Won |
| 1075 | 1132 | 42% | 2020-01-28 | | Won |
| 1098 | 1044 | 58% | 2020-01-27 | | Won |
| 1100 | 1000 | 64% | 2019-12-30 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1098 | 36% | 2019-12-16 | | Won |
| 1082 | 1000 | 62% | 2019-11-22 | | Won |
| 1147 | 1000 | 70% | 2019-10-12 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 982 | 53% | 2019-10-12 | | Won |
| 1035 | 1000 | 55% | 2019-10-10 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1141 | 31% | 2019-10-06 | | Lost |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1051.5 vs 1056.8 has a 49.25% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).