Red Horse Recon
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 81 (22 on the archive and 59 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 46
Defender wins (German): 35
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1036 | 1039 | 50% | 2025-04-12 | Won |
| 941 | 848 | 63% | 2025-03-02 | Lost |
| 876 | 1128 | 19% | 2023-01-14 | Lost |
| 937 | 1178 | 20% | 2022-06-17 | Lost |
| 1005 | 1149 | 30% | 2021-08-13 | Won |
| 1234 | 1064 | 73% | 2021-06-19 | Won |
| 924 | 1172 | 19% | 2021-02-26 | Lost |
| 924 | 1128 | 24% | 2021-02-14 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1056 | 46% | 2021-02-13 | Won |
| 1136 | 1001 | 69% | 2020-02-28 | Won |
| 1263 | 953 | 86% | 2020-02-08 | Won |
| 1131 | 900 | 79% | 2020-01-30 | Won |
| 1050 | 1136 | 38% | 2020-01-28 | Won |
| 1131 | 1052 | 61% | 2020-01-27 | Won |
| 1160 | 1170 | 49% | 2019-12-30 | Won |
| 900 | 1131 | 21% | 2019-12-16 | Won |
| 1174 | 900 | 83% | 2019-12-16 | Won |
| 1043 | 934 | 65% | 2019-11-22 | Won |
| 1135 | 1153 | 47% | 2019-10-12 | Lost |
| 907 | 1014 | 35% | 2019-10-12 | Won |
| 975 | 1226 | 19% | 2019-10-10 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1141 | 35% | 2019-10-06 | Lost |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1043 vs 1067 has a 46.56% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).