Red Horse Recon
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 80 (21 on the archive and 59 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 45
Defender wins (German): 35
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1117 | 1023 | 63% | 2025-04-12 | Won |
| 940 | 847 | 63% | 2025-03-02 | Lost |
| 879 | 1127 | 19% | 2023-01-14 | Lost |
| 937 | 1204 | 18% | 2022-06-17 | Lost |
| 1093 | 1148 | 42% | 2021-08-13 | Won |
| 1340 | 1070 | 83% | 2021-06-19 | Won |
| 924 | 1173 | 19% | 2021-02-26 | Lost |
| 924 | 1112 | 25% | 2021-02-14 | Lost |
| 1082 | 1057 | 54% | 2021-02-13 | Won |
| 1135 | 1002 | 68% | 2020-02-28 | Won |
| 1117 | 1025 | 63% | 2020-01-30 | Won |
| 1050 | 1135 | 38% | 2020-01-28 | Won |
| 1117 | 1072 | 56% | 2020-01-27 | Won |
| 1174 | 1163 | 52% | 2019-12-30 | Won |
| 1025 | 1117 | 37% | 2019-12-16 | Won |
| 1204 | 1025 | 74% | 2019-12-16 | Won |
| 1018 | 934 | 62% | 2019-11-22 | Won |
| 1078 | 1144 | 41% | 2019-10-12 | Lost |
| 907 | 1023 | 34% | 2019-10-12 | Won |
| 1047 | 978 | 60% | 2019-10-10 | Lost |
| 1035 | 1151 | 34% | 2019-10-06 | Lost |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1054.4 vs 1072.9 has a 47.35% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).