Red Horse Recon
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 79 (20 on the archive and 59 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 40
Defender wins (German): 39
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1117 | 1011 | 65% | 2025-04-12 | Won |
| 856 | 883 | 46% | 2025-03-02 | Lost |
| 882 | 1126 | 20% | 2023-01-14 | Lost |
| 937 | 1248 | 14% | 2022-06-17 | Lost |
| 1116 | 1155 | 44% | 2021-08-13 | Won |
| 1310 | 1084 | 79% | 2021-06-19 | Won |
| 924 | 1173 | 19% | 2021-02-26 | Lost |
| 924 | 1109 | 26% | 2021-02-14 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1057 | 54% | 2021-02-13 | Won |
| 1116 | 1000 | 66% | 2020-02-28 | Won |
| 1132 | 959 | 73% | 2020-01-30 | Won |
| 1049 | 1116 | 40% | 2020-01-28 | Won |
| 1132 | 1086 | 57% | 2020-01-27 | Won |
| 1136 | 1142 | 49% | 2019-12-30 | Won |
| 959 | 1132 | 27% | 2019-12-16 | Won |
| 1189 | 959 | 79% | 2019-12-16 | Won |
| 1046 | 934 | 66% | 2019-11-22 | Won |
| 903 | 1009 | 35% | 2019-10-12 | Won |
| 1058 | 1066 | 49% | 2019-10-12 | Lost |
| 1003 | 976 | 54% | 2019-10-10 | Lost |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1043.7 vs 1061.3 has a 47.47% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).