Red Horse Recon
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 80 (21 on the archive and 59 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 40
Defender wins (German): 40
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1090 | 1054 | 55% | 2025-04-12 | Won |
| 890 | 847 | 56% | 2025-03-02 | Lost |
| 879 | 1127 | 19% | 2023-01-14 | Lost |
| 937 | 1200 | 18% | 2022-06-17 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1149 | 38% | 2021-08-13 | Won |
| 1329 | 1100 | 79% | 2021-06-19 | Won |
| 925 | 1174 | 19% | 2021-02-26 | Lost |
| 925 | 1111 | 26% | 2021-02-14 | Lost |
| 1082 | 1057 | 54% | 2021-02-13 | Won |
| 1135 | 1001 | 68% | 2020-02-28 | Won |
| 1143 | 947 | 76% | 2020-01-30 | Won |
| 1051 | 1135 | 38% | 2020-01-28 | Won |
| 1143 | 1098 | 56% | 2020-01-27 | Won |
| 1127 | 1121 | 51% | 2019-12-30 | Won |
| 947 | 1143 | 24% | 2019-12-16 | Won |
| 1177 | 947 | 79% | 2019-12-16 | Won |
| 1029 | 934 | 63% | 2019-11-22 | Won |
| 1060 | 1065 | 49% | 2019-10-12 | Lost |
| 907 | 1025 | 34% | 2019-10-12 | Won |
| 1052 | 978 | 60% | 2019-10-10 | Lost |
| 1034 | 1152 | 34% | 2019-10-06 | Lost |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1044.1 vs 1065 has a 47% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).