Red Horse Recon
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 81 (22 on the archive and 59 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 46
Defender wins (German): 35
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1029 | 1056 | 46% | 2025-04-12 | Won |
| 941 | 848 | 63% | 2025-03-02 | Lost |
| 879 | 1128 | 19% | 2023-01-14 | Lost |
| 937 | 1201 | 18% | 2022-06-17 | Lost |
| 1073 | 1149 | 39% | 2021-08-13 | Won |
| 1252 | 1060 | 75% | 2021-06-19 | Won |
| 924 | 1173 | 19% | 2021-02-26 | Lost |
| 924 | 1127 | 24% | 2021-02-14 | Lost |
| 1081 | 1056 | 54% | 2021-02-13 | Won |
| 1135 | 1001 | 68% | 2020-02-28 | Won |
| 1283 | 954 | 87% | 2020-02-08 | Won |
| 1144 | 991 | 71% | 2020-01-30 | Won |
| 1050 | 1135 | 38% | 2020-01-28 | Won |
| 1144 | 1072 | 60% | 2020-01-27 | Won |
| 1159 | 1169 | 49% | 2019-12-30 | Won |
| 991 | 1144 | 29% | 2019-12-16 | Won |
| 1235 | 991 | 80% | 2019-12-16 | Won |
| 1049 | 934 | 66% | 2019-11-22 | Won |
| 1098 | 1151 | 42% | 2019-10-12 | Lost |
| 908 | 1026 | 34% | 2019-10-12 | Won |
| 1052 | 977 | 61% | 2019-10-10 | Lost |
| 1035 | 1140 | 35% | 2019-10-06 | Lost |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1060.1 vs 1067.4 has a 48.95% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).