Red Horse Recon
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 82 (21 on the archive and 61 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 41
Defender wins (German): 41
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1086 | 1013 | 60% | 2025-04-12 | | Won |
| 940 | 1000 | 41% | 2025-03-02 | | Lost |
| 891 | 1128 | 20% | 2023-01-14 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1150 | 30% | 2022-06-17 | | Lost |
| 991 | 1129 | 31% | 2021-08-13 | | Won |
| 1219 | 1040 | 74% | 2021-06-19 | | Won |
| 924 | 1172 | 19% | 2021-02-26 | | Lost |
| 924 | 1163 | 20% | 2021-02-14 | | Lost |
| 1014 | 1056 | 44% | 2021-02-13 | | Won |
| 1132 | 1000 | 68% | 2020-02-28 | | Won |
| 1242 | 953 | 84% | 2020-02-08 | | Won |
| 1064 | 1000 | 59% | 2020-01-30 | | Won |
| 1076 | 1132 | 42% | 2020-01-28 | | Won |
| 1064 | 1064 | 50% | 2020-01-27 | | Won |
| 1185 | 1000 | 74% | 2019-12-30 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1064 | 41% | 2019-12-16 | | Won |
| 1066 | 1000 | 59% | 2019-11-22 | | Won |
| 1133 | 1000 | 68% | 2019-10-12 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1012 | 48% | 2019-10-12 | | Won |
| 1029 | 1000 | 54% | 2019-10-10 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1141 | 31% | 2019-10-06 | | Lost |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1046.7 vs 1058 has a 48.38% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).