New and Untested
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 35 (18 on the archive and 17 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 15
Defender wins (Russian): 19
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1152 | 1152 | 50% | 2025-04-27 | Lost |
1025 | 961 | 59% | 2022-11-19 | Won |
1114 | 1127 | 48% | 2022-11-09 | Won |
1082 | 1152 | 40% | 2022-08-10 | Lost |
929 | 982 | 42% | 2022-06-25 | Won |
997 | 1049 | 43% | 2022-05-03 | Won |
1030 | 1087 | 42% | 2022-05-03 | Won |
1034 | 1052 | 47% | 2022-04-12 | Won |
1010 | 1146 | 31% | 2022-03-20 | Lost |
1157 | 1010 | 70% | 2021-10-08 | Lost |
912 | 927 | 48% | 2021-03-30 | Won |
1037 | 1166 | 32% | 2020-11-07 | Won |
995 | 1181 | 26% | 2020-10-15 | Lost |
982 | 999 | 48% | 2020-07-08 | Won |
1176 | 1124 | 57% | 2020-04-20 | Won |
986 | 967 | 53% | 2020-01-11 | Tied |
1143 | 1010 | 68% | 2020-01-09 | Won |
1010 | 1143 | 32% | 2019-11-16 | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1042.8 vs 1068.6 has a 46.3% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).