New and Untested
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 39 (20 on the archive and 19 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 25
Defender wins (Russian): 13
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 843 | 1000 | 29% | 2026-05-17 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1009 | 49% | 2025-04-27 | | Lost |
| 964 | 1000 | 45% | 2022-11-19 | | Won |
| 1184 | 1000 | 74% | 2022-11-09 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1009 | 49% | 2022-08-10 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 917 | 62% | 2022-06-25 | | Won |
| 1056 | 1000 | 58% | 2022-05-03 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1004 | 49% | 2022-05-03 | | Won |
| 1091 | 1000 | 63% | 2022-04-12 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1200 | 24% | 2022-03-20 | | Lost |
| 1004 | 1000 | 51% | 2021-10-08 | | Lost |
| 950 | 1000 | 43% | 2021-03-30 | | Won |
| 1068 | 1000 | 60% | 2020-11-07 | | Won |
| 1025 | 1217 | 25% | 2020-10-15 | | Lost |
| 917 | 1027 | 35% | 2020-07-08 | | Won |
| 1173 | 1089 | 62% | 2020-04-20 | | Won |
| 1038 | 896 | 69% | 2020-01-11 | | Tied |
| 1126 | 1000 | 67% | 2020-01-09 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1126 | 33% | 2019-11-16 | | Lost |
| 1052 | 933 | 66% | 2019-11-08 | | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1024.6 vs 1021.4 has a 50.46% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).