Long Day of Confusion
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 14
Attacker wins (British): 6
Defender wins (German (SS)): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 912 | 62% | 2023-09-03 | | Won |
| 1218 | 1000 | 78% | 2023-06-23 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1139 | 31% | 2023-05-21 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 977 | 53% | 2023-01-15 | | Lost |
| 1029 | 1000 | 54% | 2023-01-15 | | Lost |
| 977 | 983 | 49% | 2023-01-07 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1173 | 27% | 2022-11-23 | | Won |
| 1020 | 1000 | 53% | 2022-11-17 | | Won |
| 1037 | 1028 | 51% | 2022-03-23 | | Lost |
| 1156 | 1217 | 41% | 2022-01-01 | | Lost |
| 969 | 989 | 47% | 2021-09-11 | | Won |
| 1217 | 1196 | 53% | 2020-05-01 | | Won |
| 1020 | 1000 | 53% | 2019-11-24 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1098 | 36% | 2019-11-17 | | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1045.9 vs 1050.9 has a 49.29% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).