Unfamiliar Land
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 35 (17 on the archive and 18 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 16
Defender wins (Russian): 18
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1018 | 1002 | 52% | 2023-09-13 | Won |
| 1114 | 1128 | 48% | 2023-02-15 | Lost |
| 1171 | 949 | 78% | 2023-01-05 | Tied |
| 953 | 1024 | 40% | 2022-12-28 | Lost |
| 954 | 1183 | 21% | 2022-10-27 | Lost |
| 963 | 993 | 46% | 2022-10-21 | Lost |
| 1052 | 1034 | 53% | 2022-04-12 | Won |
| 1178 | 1060 | 66% | 2022-04-02 | Lost |
| 942 | 1099 | 29% | 2022-03-29 | Lost |
| 1143 | 896 | 81% | 2022-03-25 | Won |
| 1000 | 990 | 51% | 2022-01-10 | Won |
| 927 | 912 | 52% | 2021-10-08 | Won |
| 1010 | 1012 | 50% | 2020-10-19 | Lost |
| 999 | 989 | 51% | 2020-07-22 | Lost |
| 1050 | 973 | 61% | 2020-03-27 | Won |
| 978 | 950 | 54% | 2020-03-20 | Lost |
| 950 | 973 | 47% | 2020-02-25 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1023.6 vs 1009.8 has a 51.99% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).