Unfamiliar Land
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 35 (17 on the archive and 18 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 14
Defender wins (Russian): 20
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1005 | 1037 | 45% | 2023-09-13 | Won |
| 1114 | 1127 | 48% | 2023-02-15 | Lost |
| 1156 | 964 | 75% | 2023-01-05 | Tied |
| 954 | 1025 | 40% | 2022-12-28 | Lost |
| 938 | 1193 | 19% | 2022-10-27 | Lost |
| 980 | 987 | 49% | 2022-10-21 | Lost |
| 1052 | 1034 | 53% | 2022-04-12 | Won |
| 1128 | 1060 | 60% | 2022-04-02 | Lost |
| 942 | 1100 | 29% | 2022-03-29 | Lost |
| 1146 | 912 | 79% | 2022-03-25 | Won |
| 986 | 967 | 53% | 2022-01-10 | Won |
| 927 | 912 | 52% | 2021-10-08 | Won |
| 1051 | 995 | 58% | 2020-10-19 | Lost |
| 999 | 982 | 52% | 2020-07-22 | Lost |
| 1050 | 909 | 69% | 2020-03-27 | Won |
| 978 | 1209 | 21% | 2020-03-20 | Lost |
| 886 | 909 | 47% | 2020-02-25 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1017.2 vs 1018.9 has a 49.75% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).