Swan Song
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15 (6 on the archive and 9 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French): 8
Defender wins (German): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1023 | 1021 | 50% | 2023-08-14 | Won |
| 1044 | 949 | 63% | 2023-04-08 | Won |
| 952 | 982 | 46% | 2022-05-03 | Lost |
| 1111 | 1121 | 49% | 2021-02-02 | Won |
| 950 | 1106 | 29% | 2020-11-02 | Lost |
| 967 | 1157 | 25% | 2020-02-27 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1007.8 vs 1056 has a 43.11% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).