Swan Song
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16 (7 on the archive and 9 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French): 8
Defender wins (German): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1040 | 1049 | 49% | 2026-06-16 | Won |
| 954 | 1097 | 31% | 2023-08-14 | Won |
| 977 | 1038 | 41% | 2023-04-08 | Won |
| 953 | 982 | 46% | 2022-05-03 | Lost |
| 1102 | 1120 | 47% | 2021-02-02 | Won |
| 899 | 1102 | 24% | 2020-11-02 | Lost |
| 970 | 1123 | 29% | 2020-02-27 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 985 vs 1073 has a 37.6% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).