In Front of the Storm
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 77 (25 on the archive and 52 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French): 30
Defender wins (German): 47
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1142 | 1218 | 39% | 2025-01-05 | Lost |
| 1185 | 1015 | 73% | 2024-07-26 | Lost |
| 868 | 891 | 47% | 2023-12-01 | Lost |
| 993 | 981 | 52% | 2023-09-27 | Lost |
| 948 | 981 | 45% | 2023-07-16 | Won |
| 1143 | 1063 | 61% | 2023-05-20 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1117 | 42% | 2022-11-06 | Won |
| 1185 | 981 | 76% | 2022-08-07 | Lost |
| 926 | 1051 | 33% | 2022-03-10 | Lost |
| 951 | 987 | 45% | 2022-01-16 | Won |
| 995 | 1047 | 43% | 2021-07-19 | Lost |
| 966 | 981 | 48% | 2021-04-19 | Won |
| 1198 | 1023 | 73% | 2021-03-26 | Won |
| 1198 | 1023 | 73% | 2021-03-26 | Won |
| 999 | 976 | 53% | 2021-03-22 | Lost |
| 952 | 1156 | 24% | 2021-02-26 | Won |
| 1033 | 1006 | 54% | 2020-12-19 | Lost |
| 1172 | 951 | 78% | 2020-12-03 | Won |
| 976 | 1226 | 19% | 2020-08-11 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1066 | 50% | 2020-07-22 | Lost |
| 944 | 843 | 64% | 2020-07-09 | Lost |
| 1102 | 937 | 72% | 2020-05-05 | Lost |
| 1198 | 1241 | 44% | 2020-04-22 | Won |
| 951 | 951 | 50% | 2020-02-17 | Won |
| 1002 | 951 | 57% | 2020-02-01 | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1046 vs 1026.5 has a 52.81% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).