In Front of the Storm
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 75 (25 on the archive and 50 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French): 30
Defender wins (German): 45
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1142 | 1218 | 39% | 2025-01-05 | Lost |
| 1178 | 1015 | 72% | 2024-07-26 | Lost |
| 868 | 891 | 47% | 2023-12-01 | Lost |
| 993 | 1029 | 45% | 2023-09-27 | Lost |
| 948 | 1029 | 39% | 2023-07-16 | Won |
| 1143 | 969 | 73% | 2023-05-20 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1089 | 46% | 2022-11-06 | Won |
| 1178 | 1029 | 70% | 2022-08-07 | Lost |
| 925 | 1068 | 31% | 2022-03-10 | Lost |
| 965 | 987 | 47% | 2022-01-16 | Won |
| 967 | 1077 | 35% | 2021-07-19 | Lost |
| 964 | 1029 | 41% | 2021-04-19 | Won |
| 1228 | 1023 | 76% | 2021-03-26 | Won |
| 1228 | 1023 | 76% | 2021-03-26 | Won |
| 999 | 999 | 50% | 2021-03-22 | Lost |
| 984 | 1002 | 47% | 2021-02-26 | Won |
| 1050 | 1007 | 56% | 2020-12-19 | Lost |
| 1172 | 965 | 77% | 2020-12-03 | Won |
| 982 | 1226 | 20% | 2020-08-11 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1066 | 50% | 2020-07-22 | Lost |
| 966 | 843 | 67% | 2020-07-09 | Lost |
| 1102 | 941 | 72% | 2020-05-05 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1220 | 51% | 2020-04-22 | Won |
| 988 | 965 | 53% | 2020-02-17 | Won |
| 988 | 965 | 53% | 2020-02-01 | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1052.4 vs 1027 has a 53.65% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).