In Front of the Storm
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 69 (25 on the archive and 44 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French): 28
Defender wins (German): 41
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1142 | 1204 | 41% | 2025-01-05 | Lost |
| 1158 | 1015 | 69% | 2024-07-26 | Lost |
| 871 | 879 | 49% | 2023-12-01 | Lost |
| 995 | 1277 | 16% | 2023-09-27 | Lost |
| 946 | 1277 | 13% | 2023-07-16 | Won |
| 907 | 1052 | 30% | 2023-05-20 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1056 | 50% | 2022-11-06 | Won |
| 1158 | 1277 | 34% | 2022-08-07 | Lost |
| 959 | 1010 | 43% | 2022-03-10 | Lost |
| 909 | 989 | 39% | 2022-01-16 | Won |
| 1033 | 1010 | 53% | 2021-07-19 | Lost |
| 965 | 1277 | 14% | 2021-04-19 | Won |
| 1156 | 1025 | 68% | 2021-03-26 | Won |
| 1156 | 1025 | 68% | 2021-03-26 | Won |
| 1030 | 1044 | 48% | 2021-03-22 | Lost |
| 985 | 948 | 55% | 2021-02-26 | Won |
| 1038 | 1006 | 55% | 2020-12-19 | Lost |
| 1174 | 909 | 82% | 2020-12-03 | Won |
| 1048 | 1226 | 26% | 2020-08-11 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1088 | 48% | 2020-07-22 | Lost |
| 935 | 864 | 60% | 2020-07-09 | Lost |
| 1086 | 877 | 77% | 2020-05-05 | Lost |
| 1156 | 1269 | 34% | 2020-04-22 | Won |
| 886 | 909 | 47% | 2020-02-17 | Won |
| 987 | 909 | 61% | 2020-02-01 | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1032.4 vs 1056.9 has a 46.48% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).