In Front of the Storm
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 69 (25 on the archive and 44 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French): 28
Defender wins (German): 41
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1097 | 1233 | 31% | 2025-01-05 | Lost |
| 1209 | 1015 | 75% | 2024-07-26 | Lost |
| 868 | 883 | 48% | 2023-12-01 | Lost |
| 997 | 1061 | 41% | 2023-09-27 | Lost |
| 954 | 1061 | 35% | 2023-07-16 | Won |
| 907 | 1061 | 29% | 2023-05-20 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1164 | 35% | 2022-11-06 | Won |
| 1209 | 1061 | 70% | 2022-08-07 | Lost |
| 959 | 1009 | 43% | 2022-03-10 | Lost |
| 913 | 989 | 39% | 2022-01-16 | Won |
| 1010 | 1034 | 47% | 2021-07-19 | Lost |
| 964 | 1061 | 36% | 2021-04-19 | Won |
| 1141 | 1031 | 65% | 2021-03-26 | Won |
| 1141 | 1031 | 65% | 2021-03-26 | Won |
| 928 | 951 | 47% | 2021-03-22 | Lost |
| 1011 | 999 | 52% | 2021-02-26 | Won |
| 1015 | 1006 | 51% | 2020-12-19 | Lost |
| 1173 | 913 | 82% | 2020-12-03 | Won |
| 951 | 1223 | 17% | 2020-08-11 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2020-07-22 | Lost |
| 924 | 864 | 59% | 2020-07-09 | Lost |
| 1087 | 903 | 74% | 2020-05-05 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1266 | 33% | 2020-04-22 | Won |
| 928 | 913 | 52% | 2020-02-17 | Won |
| 987 | 913 | 60% | 2020-02-01 | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1026.3 vs 1029.3 has a 49.56% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).