Beacon of Hope
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 34 (13 on the archive and 21 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 6
Defender wins (Swedish/Norwegian): 28
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1108 | 35% | 2025-10-31 | | Lost |
| 1032 | 1000 | 55% | 2025-04-12 | | Lost |
| 1031 | 1031 | 50% | 2025-02-15 | | Lost |
| 1241 | 1000 | 80% | 2024-11-25 | | Lost |
| 947 | 1000 | 42% | 2023-06-21 | | Lost |
| 1077 | 1000 | 61% | 2023-03-13 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1040 | 44% | 2022-04-09 | | Lost |
| 992 | 1000 | 49% | 2022-03-12 | | Won |
| 1156 | 952 | 76% | 2021-11-08 | | Lost |
| 972 | 1218 | 20% | 2021-05-19 | | Lost |
| 1009 | 1000 | 51% | 2021-05-02 | | Lost |
| 1028 | 1055 | 46% | 2021-04-09 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1011 | 48% | 2021-03-24 | | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1037.3 vs 1031.9 has a 50.77% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).