Beacon of Hope
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 34 (13 on the archive and 21 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 6
Defender wins (Swedish/Norwegian): 28
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1108 | 35% | 2025-10-31 | | Lost |
| 1084 | 1000 | 62% | 2025-04-12 | | Lost |
| 1039 | 1039 | 50% | 2025-02-15 | | Lost |
| 1170 | 1000 | 73% | 2024-11-25 | | Lost |
| 948 | 1000 | 43% | 2023-06-21 | | Lost |
| 1077 | 1000 | 61% | 2023-03-13 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1054 | 42% | 2022-04-09 | | Lost |
| 992 | 1000 | 49% | 2022-03-12 | | Won |
| 1147 | 991 | 71% | 2021-11-08 | | Lost |
| 1023 | 1174 | 30% | 2021-05-19 | | Lost |
| 1007 | 1000 | 51% | 2021-05-02 | | Lost |
| 1031 | 1056 | 46% | 2021-04-09 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 965 | 55% | 2021-03-24 | | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1039.8 vs 1029.8 has a 51.45% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).