Lions and Tin Men
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 28 (10 on the archive and 18 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 12
Defender wins (Norwegian/Swedish): 16
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 930 | 948 | 47% | 2025-12-01 | Lost |
| 958 | 969 | 48% | 2024-03-08 | Won |
| 993 | 979 | 52% | 2023-11-23 | Lost |
| 948 | 979 | 46% | 2023-06-23 | Won |
| 1038 | 965 | 60% | 2022-04-15 | Won |
| 940 | 1123 | 26% | 2022-02-23 | Lost |
| 940 | 1123 | 26% | 2022-02-23 | Lost |
| 1196 | 1114 | 62% | 2022-01-28 | Won |
| 932 | 1001 | 40% | 2021-05-27 | Won |
| 954 | 983 | 46% | 2021-05-15 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 982.9 vs 1018.4 has a 44.91% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).