Lions and Tin Men
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 25 (9 on the archive and 16 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 12
Defender wins (Norwegian/Swedish): 13
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 952 | 969 | 48% | 2024-03-08 | Won |
| 995 | 1010 | 48% | 2023-11-23 | Lost |
| 946 | 1010 | 41% | 2023-06-23 | Won |
| 986 | 967 | 53% | 2022-04-15 | Won |
| 870 | 1193 | 13% | 2022-02-23 | Lost |
| 870 | 1193 | 13% | 2022-02-23 | Lost |
| 1213 | 1113 | 64% | 2022-01-28 | Won |
| 959 | 1032 | 40% | 2021-05-27 | Won |
| 977 | 983 | 49% | 2021-05-15 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 974.2 vs 1052.2 has a 38.96% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).