Lions and Tin Men
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 28 (10 on the archive and 18 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 12
Defender wins (Norwegian/Swedish): 16
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 965 | 965 | 50% | 2025-12-01 | Lost |
| 949 | 969 | 47% | 2024-03-08 | Won |
| 993 | 1012 | 47% | 2023-11-23 | Lost |
| 948 | 1012 | 41% | 2023-06-23 | Won |
| 1040 | 954 | 62% | 2022-04-15 | Won |
| 998 | 1064 | 41% | 2022-02-23 | Lost |
| 998 | 1064 | 41% | 2022-02-23 | Lost |
| 1175 | 1114 | 59% | 2022-01-28 | Won |
| 933 | 985 | 43% | 2021-05-27 | Won |
| 947 | 983 | 45% | 2021-05-15 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 994.6 vs 1012.2 has a 47.47% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).