Second Hand News
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 100 (35 on the archive and 65 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 46
Defender wins (Italian / Partisan (French)): 54
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 934 | 1137 | 24% | 2025-03-08 | Lost |
| 1224 | 1224 | 50% | 2025-01-13 | Won |
| 1032 | 1059 | 46% | 2024-10-11 | Lost |
| 957 | 1054 | 36% | 2024-10-10 | Won |
| 893 | 878 | 52% | 2024-09-29 | Won |
| 1128 | 1101 | 54% | 2024-08-03 | Won |
| 980 | 966 | 52% | 2024-03-22 | Lost |
| 1116 | 1172 | 42% | 2024-02-12 | Lost |
| 1142 | 1133 | 51% | 2023-03-24 | Won |
| 1051 | 931 | 67% | 2022-11-30 | Won |
| 1125 | 1094 | 54% | 2022-04-20 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1086 | 57% | 2022-03-06 | Won |
| 1032 | 1207 | 27% | 2022-03-06 | Won |
| 1175 | 1086 | 63% | 2022-02-24 | Lost |
| 1316 | 1096 | 78% | 2022-02-23 | Lost |
| 991 | 903 | 62% | 2022-02-15 | Won |
| 944 | 937 | 51% | 2022-01-15 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1047 | 47% | 2021-11-05 | Lost |
| 1082 | 1040 | 56% | 2021-08-28 | Won |
| 1191 | 1141 | 57% | 2021-07-25 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1158 | 48% | 2021-06-06 | Lost |
| 883 | 1116 | 21% | 2021-06-06 | Won |
| 945 | 927 | 53% | 2021-05-26 | Won |
| 1126 | 1025 | 64% | 2021-05-24 | Won |
| 1025 | 994 | 54% | 2021-05-08 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1282 | 18% | 2021-03-26 | Lost |
| 1147 | 1116 | 54% | 2021-03-26 | Lost |
| 938 | 1219 | 17% | 2021-02-13 | Lost |
| 1217 | 1085 | 68% | 2021-01-19 | Won |
| 937 | 1007 | 40% | 2020-12-22 | Lost |
| 875 | 1106 | 21% | 2020-12-13 | Lost |
| 1063 | 1082 | 47% | 2020-12-01 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1189 | 28% | 2020-11-24 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1095 | 67% | 2020-11-17 | Lost |
| 1210 | 1032 | 74% | 2020-11-10 | Lost |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1064.1 vs 1077.9 has a 48.02% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).