Second Hand News
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 107 (37 on the archive and 70 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 50
Defender wins (Italian / Partisan (French)): 57
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 931 | 1162 | 21% | 2025-03-08 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1228 | 50% | 2025-01-13 | Won |
| 1045 | 1065 | 47% | 2024-10-11 | Lost |
| 967 | 986 | 47% | 2024-10-10 | Won |
| 893 | 878 | 52% | 2024-09-29 | Won |
| 1131 | 1104 | 54% | 2024-08-03 | Won |
| 979 | 998 | 47% | 2024-03-22 | Lost |
| 1124 | 1176 | 43% | 2024-02-12 | Lost |
| 1154 | 1115 | 56% | 2023-03-24 | Won |
| 1051 | 949 | 64% | 2022-11-30 | Won |
| 712 | 1152 | 7% | 2022-05-05 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1096 | 50% | 2022-04-20 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1098 | 55% | 2022-03-06 | Won |
| 1010 | 1143 | 32% | 2022-03-06 | Won |
| 1176 | 1098 | 61% | 2022-02-24 | Lost |
| 1313 | 1111 | 76% | 2022-02-23 | Lost |
| 990 | 892 | 64% | 2022-02-15 | Won |
| 977 | 937 | 56% | 2022-01-15 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1045 | 49% | 2021-11-05 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1041 | 52% | 2021-08-28 | Won |
| 1195 | 1146 | 57% | 2021-07-25 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1066 | 62% | 2021-07-02 | Won |
| 1146 | 1170 | 47% | 2021-06-06 | Lost |
| 885 | 1124 | 20% | 2021-06-06 | Won |
| 1061 | 1032 | 54% | 2021-05-26 | Won |
| 1110 | 982 | 68% | 2021-05-24 | Won |
| 982 | 1016 | 45% | 2021-05-08 | Lost |
| 1008 | 1289 | 17% | 2021-03-26 | Lost |
| 1150 | 1124 | 54% | 2021-03-26 | Lost |
| 939 | 1221 | 16% | 2021-02-13 | Lost |
| 1213 | 1086 | 68% | 2021-01-19 | Won |
| 899 | 1008 | 35% | 2020-12-22 | Lost |
| 877 | 1110 | 21% | 2020-12-13 | Lost |
| 1070 | 1058 | 52% | 2020-12-01 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1198 | 28% | 2020-11-24 | Lost |
| 1193 | 1096 | 64% | 2020-11-17 | Lost |
| 1157 | 1010 | 70% | 2020-11-10 | Lost |
Attacking (15 wins) average ELOs: 1056.1 vs 1081.4 has a 46.38% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).