Forsthaus Clash
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 48 (10 on the archive and 38 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 13
Defender wins (German): 35
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 953 | 968 | 48% | 2024-06-09 | Won |
| 954 | 1043 | 37% | 2022-12-05 | Lost |
| 954 | 1043 | 37% | 2022-12-05 | Lost |
| 964 | 991 | 46% | 2022-12-01 | Lost |
| 1043 | 954 | 63% | 2022-11-27 | Lost |
| 1043 | 954 | 63% | 2022-11-27 | Lost |
| 1051 | 968 | 62% | 2022-10-03 | Won |
| 1139 | 919 | 78% | 2021-12-09 | Won |
| 875 | 1014 | 31% | 2021-04-29 | Lost |
| 1102 | 1181 | 39% | 2021-01-28 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1007.8 vs 1003.5 has a 50.62% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).