Bite of the Bassotto
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 139 (22 on the archive and 117 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (New Zealand): 64
Defender wins (German): 75
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1152 | 713 | 93% | 2024-11-07 | Won |
| 1028 | 1165 | 31% | 2024-02-09 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1093 | 41% | 2023-12-11 | Won |
| 953 | 1024 | 40% | 2023-04-18 | Lost |
| 1001 | 1026 | 46% | 2022-11-02 | Lost |
| 887 | 755 | 68% | 2022-07-09 | Won |
| 954 | 1043 | 37% | 2021-09-03 | Won |
| 954 | 1043 | 37% | 2021-09-03 | Won |
| 1060 | 1112 | 43% | 2021-08-29 | Lost |
| 1040 | 1026 | 52% | 2021-08-25 | Lost |
| 968 | 953 | 52% | 2021-07-25 | Lost |
| 1130 | 954 | 73% | 2021-04-16 | Won |
| 1031 | 1153 | 33% | 2021-03-09 | Lost |
| 1153 | 1087 | 59% | 2021-03-08 | Lost |
| 967 | 1031 | 41% | 2021-01-21 | Lost |
| 1103 | 1211 | 35% | 2021-01-14 | Won |
| 1140 | 1208 | 40% | 2021-01-08 | Won |
| 1019 | 1057 | 45% | 2020-12-30 | Lost |
| 1002 | 997 | 51% | 2020-12-19 | Lost |
| 889 | 930 | 44% | 2020-12-05 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1044 | 50% | 2020-12-03 | Lost |
| 1171 | 973 | 76% | 2020-10-18 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1030.7 vs 1027.2 has a 50.51% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).