The Chocos
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 67 (17 on the archive and 50 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 36
Defender wins (Australian): 31
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1054 | 1122 | 40% | 2025-10-10 | Lost |
| 1053 | 1060 | 49% | 2025-07-29 | Won |
| 1085 | 1074 | 52% | 2024-08-24 | Lost |
| 998 | 1053 | 42% | 2024-05-11 | Lost |
| 1015 | 990 | 54% | 2024-03-22 | Won |
| 975 | 1099 | 33% | 2023-07-28 | Won |
| 999 | 1046 | 43% | 2023-07-04 | Won |
| 1050 | 878 | 73% | 2023-03-06 | Won |
| 1122 | 1215 | 37% | 2022-10-06 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1049 | 45% | 2021-12-18 | Won |
| 1203 | 1143 | 59% | 2021-08-13 | Won |
| 1056 | 1173 | 34% | 2021-08-05 | Lost |
| 933 | 1103 | 27% | 2021-06-26 | Lost |
| 1103 | 1284 | 26% | 2021-05-18 | Won |
| 1279 | 731 | 96% | 2021-04-19 | Won |
| 1169 | 986 | 74% | 2021-04-16 | Lost |
| 1194 | 1001 | 75% | 2021-01-23 | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1076.6 vs 1059.2 has a 52.5% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).