The Chocos
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 63 (15 on the archive and 48 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 32
Defender wins (Australian): 31
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1063 | 1060 | 50% | 2025-07-29 | Won |
| 1123 | 1078 | 56% | 2024-08-24 | Lost |
| 996 | 982 | 52% | 2024-05-11 | Lost |
| 1015 | 990 | 54% | 2024-03-22 | Won |
| 947 | 1108 | 28% | 2023-07-28 | Won |
| 999 | 1031 | 45% | 2023-07-04 | Won |
| 1050 | 879 | 73% | 2023-03-06 | Won |
| 1106 | 1219 | 34% | 2022-10-06 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1049 | 45% | 2021-12-18 | Won |
| 1162 | 1143 | 53% | 2021-08-13 | Won |
| 1056 | 1173 | 34% | 2021-08-05 | Lost |
| 933 | 1110 | 27% | 2021-06-26 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1275 | 28% | 2021-05-18 | Won |
| 1257 | 743 | 95% | 2021-04-19 | Won |
| 1141 | 991 | 70% | 2021-04-16 | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1064.9 vs 1055.4 has a 51.36% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).