The Beasts Have Arrived
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 109 (31 on the archive and 78 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 58
Defender wins (Russian): 51
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1051 | 1050 | 50% | 2025-03-24 | Lost |
| 963 | 1151 | 25% | 2024-05-10 | Won |
| 994 | 990 | 51% | 2024-01-27 | Lost |
| 1065 | 1111 | 43% | 2023-10-06 | Lost |
| 1003 | 1139 | 31% | 2023-09-08 | Lost |
| 1156 | 1091 | 59% | 2023-08-03 | Won |
| 1169 | 1065 | 65% | 2023-07-03 | Lost |
| 918 | 866 | 57% | 2023-01-05 | Lost |
| 890 | 898 | 49% | 2022-11-14 | Won |
| 1059 | 1333 | 17% | 2022-10-24 | Lost |
| 1034 | 986 | 57% | 2022-07-16 | Lost |
| 1165 | 1013 | 71% | 2022-06-16 | Won |
| 1333 | 1071 | 82% | 2022-06-10 | Won |
| 1084 | 982 | 64% | 2022-04-30 | Lost |
| 1165 | 1144 | 53% | 2022-03-16 | Lost |
| 1034 | 1115 | 39% | 2022-03-02 | Won |
| 1020 | 978 | 56% | 2022-02-06 | Lost |
| 1045 | 1014 | 54% | 2022-02-05 | Lost |
| 1007 | 989 | 53% | 2021-11-11 | Won |
| 1063 | 1163 | 36% | 2021-08-11 | Lost |
| 1063 | 1156 | 37% | 2021-08-10 | Lost |
| 1333 | 1015 | 86% | 2021-08-09 | Won |
| 1142 | 1148 | 49% | 2021-07-24 | Won |
| 1210 | 1059 | 70% | 2021-07-24 | Lost |
| 1203 | 1134 | 60% | 2021-07-06 | Lost |
| 982 | 1031 | 43% | 2021-07-03 | Won |
| 1134 | 1256 | 33% | 2021-06-19 | Won |
| 1026 | 1026 | 50% | 2021-06-13 | Lost |
| 1028 | 942 | 62% | 2021-05-26 | Won |
| 1165 | 1144 | 53% | 2021-05-16 | Won |
| 1142 | 1134 | 51% | 2021-03-20 | Lost |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1085.4 vs 1070.8 has a 52.1% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).