The Beasts Have Arrived
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 110 (31 on the archive and 79 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 46
Defender wins (Russian): 64
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 945 | 1046 | 36% | 2025-03-24 | Lost |
| 991 | 1117 | 33% | 2024-05-10 | Won |
| 945 | 986 | 44% | 2024-01-27 | Lost |
| 1129 | 1120 | 51% | 2023-10-06 | Lost |
| 1003 | 1021 | 47% | 2023-09-08 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1073 | 56% | 2023-08-03 | Won |
| 1179 | 1129 | 57% | 2023-07-03 | Lost |
| 872 | 865 | 51% | 2023-01-05 | Lost |
| 940 | 898 | 56% | 2022-11-14 | Won |
| 1113 | 1231 | 34% | 2022-10-24 | Lost |
| 998 | 986 | 52% | 2022-07-16 | Lost |
| 1230 | 998 | 79% | 2022-06-16 | Won |
| 1231 | 1068 | 72% | 2022-06-10 | Won |
| 953 | 1126 | 27% | 2022-04-30 | Lost |
| 1230 | 1013 | 78% | 2022-03-16 | Lost |
| 1034 | 1030 | 51% | 2022-03-02 | Won |
| 1002 | 1013 | 48% | 2022-02-06 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1087 | 44% | 2022-02-05 | Lost |
| 1225 | 989 | 80% | 2021-11-11 | Won |
| 993 | 1172 | 26% | 2021-08-11 | Lost |
| 993 | 1113 | 33% | 2021-08-10 | Lost |
| 1231 | 1031 | 76% | 2021-08-09 | Won |
| 1236 | 1155 | 61% | 2021-07-24 | Won |
| 1238 | 1052 | 74% | 2021-07-24 | Lost |
| 1083 | 1136 | 42% | 2021-07-06 | Lost |
| 982 | 1031 | 43% | 2021-07-03 | Won |
| 1208 | 1225 | 48% | 2021-06-19 | Won |
| 1052 | 1040 | 52% | 2021-06-13 | Lost |
| 1089 | 944 | 70% | 2021-05-26 | Won |
| 1230 | 1013 | 78% | 2021-05-16 | Won |
| 1236 | 1208 | 54% | 2021-03-20 | Lost |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1088.6 vs 1061.8 has a 53.85% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).