The Beasts Have Arrived
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 110 (31 on the archive and 79 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 46
Defender wins (Russian): 64
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1029 | 1045 | 48% | 2025-03-24 | Lost |
| 981 | 1090 | 35% | 2024-05-10 | Won |
| 947 | 972 | 46% | 2024-01-27 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1110 | 49% | 2023-10-06 | Lost |
| 1003 | 1085 | 38% | 2023-09-08 | Lost |
| 1194 | 1084 | 65% | 2023-08-03 | Won |
| 1203 | 1100 | 64% | 2023-07-03 | Lost |
| 911 | 866 | 56% | 2023-01-05 | Lost |
| 941 | 898 | 56% | 2022-11-14 | Won |
| 1190 | 1340 | 30% | 2022-10-24 | Lost |
| 1013 | 986 | 54% | 2022-07-16 | Lost |
| 1169 | 1013 | 71% | 2022-06-16 | Won |
| 1340 | 1071 | 82% | 2022-06-10 | Won |
| 1011 | 1053 | 44% | 2022-04-30 | Lost |
| 1169 | 986 | 74% | 2022-03-16 | Lost |
| 1034 | 1072 | 45% | 2022-03-02 | Won |
| 1044 | 975 | 60% | 2022-02-06 | Lost |
| 1045 | 1071 | 46% | 2022-02-05 | Lost |
| 1006 | 989 | 52% | 2021-11-11 | Won |
| 1053 | 1190 | 31% | 2021-08-11 | Lost |
| 1053 | 1194 | 31% | 2021-08-10 | Lost |
| 1340 | 1015 | 87% | 2021-08-09 | Won |
| 1143 | 1137 | 51% | 2021-07-24 | Won |
| 1151 | 1059 | 63% | 2021-07-24 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1138 | 50% | 2021-07-06 | Lost |
| 982 | 1031 | 43% | 2021-07-03 | Won |
| 1133 | 1279 | 30% | 2021-06-19 | Won |
| 1037 | 1037 | 50% | 2021-06-13 | Lost |
| 1019 | 966 | 58% | 2021-05-26 | Won |
| 1169 | 986 | 74% | 2021-05-16 | Won |
| 1143 | 1133 | 51% | 2021-03-20 | Lost |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1086.8 vs 1063.6 has a 53.34% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).