The Beasts Have Arrived
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 109 (30 on the archive and 79 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 45
Defender wins (Russian): 64
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1204 | 1000 | 76% | 2026-10-09 | | Lost |
| 1011 | 1000 | 52% | 2025-03-24 | | Lost |
| 981 | 1136 | 29% | 2024-05-10 | | Won |
| 1000 | 952 | 57% | 2024-01-27 | | Lost |
| 1133 | 1119 | 52% | 2023-10-06 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1007 | 49% | 2023-09-08 | | Lost |
| 1172 | 1092 | 61% | 2023-08-03 | | Won |
| 1197 | 1133 | 59% | 2023-07-03 | | Lost |
| 979 | 1000 | 47% | 2023-01-05 | | Lost |
| 940 | 1000 | 41% | 2022-11-14 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1219 | 22% | 2022-10-24 | | Lost |
| 949 | 986 | 45% | 2022-07-16 | | Lost |
| 1131 | 990 | 69% | 2022-06-16 | | Won |
| 1219 | 1068 | 70% | 2022-06-10 | | Won |
| 1051 | 1008 | 56% | 2022-04-30 | | Lost |
| 1034 | 1064 | 46% | 2022-03-02 | | Won |
| 1098 | 1097 | 50% | 2022-02-06 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1086 | 38% | 2022-02-05 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 989 | 52% | 2021-11-11 | | Won |
| 1020 | 1110 | 37% | 2021-08-11 | | Lost |
| 1020 | 1172 | 29% | 2021-08-10 | | Lost |
| 1219 | 1031 | 75% | 2021-08-09 | | Won |
| 1204 | 1141 | 59% | 2021-07-24 | | Won |
| 1185 | 1034 | 70% | 2021-07-24 | | Lost |
| 1134 | 1171 | 45% | 2021-07-06 | | Lost |
| 983 | 1000 | 48% | 2021-07-03 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1298 | 15% | 2021-06-19 | | Won |
| 1066 | 1000 | 59% | 2021-06-13 | | Lost |
| 1040 | 932 | 65% | 2021-05-26 | | Won |
| 1204 | 1000 | 76% | 2021-03-20 | | Lost |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1072.5 vs 1061.2 has a 51.63% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).