Fresh Grist
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 38 (10 on the archive and 28 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 19
Defender wins (Chinese): 19
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1081 | 1088 | 49% | 2023-07-16 | Lost |
| 973 | 983 | 49% | 2023-03-24 | Won |
| 1122 | 1036 | 62% | 2022-12-17 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1046 | 52% | 2022-05-20 | Lost |
| 1013 | 1088 | 39% | 2022-04-21 | Lost |
| 983 | 1145 | 28% | 2022-04-10 | Lost |
| 1267 | 780 | 94% | 2022-02-20 | Won |
| 1040 | 1040 | 50% | 2021-11-28 | Lost |
| 1112 | 1090 | 53% | 2021-10-12 | Won |
| 1267 | 1207 | 59% | 2021-06-19 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1091.6 vs 1050.3 has a 55.92% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).