Fresh Grist
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 43 (14 on the archive and 29 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 21
Defender wins (Chinese): 22
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 909 | 886 | 53% | 2024-10-07 | Lost |
| 1112 | 1083 | 54% | 2023-07-16 | Lost |
| 973 | 909 | 59% | 2023-03-24 | Won |
| 1099 | 1064 | 55% | 2022-12-17 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1044 | 50% | 2022-05-20 | Lost |
| 1146 | 1036 | 65% | 2022-04-21 | Lost |
| 909 | 1061 | 29% | 2022-04-10 | Lost |
| 1220 | 747 | 94% | 2022-02-20 | Won |
| 1091 | 1064 | 54% | 2022-01-10 | Won |
| 1032 | 1032 | 50% | 2021-11-28 | Lost |
| 1176 | 1124 | 57% | 2021-11-19 | Lost |
| 1181 | 1098 | 62% | 2021-10-12 | Won |
| 1220 | 1218 | 50% | 2021-06-19 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1090 | 41% | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1081.3 vs 1032.6 has a 56.96% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).