Fresh Grist
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 46 (17 on the archive and 29 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 16
Defender wins (Chinese): 30
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 934 | 893 | 56% | 2025-12-30 | Lost |
| 1303 | 1264 | 56% | 2025-08-05 | Lost |
| 1008 | 1012 | 49% | 2024-10-07 | Lost |
| 1087 | 1087 | 50% | 2023-07-16 | Lost |
| 971 | 1008 | 45% | 2023-03-24 | Won |
| 1095 | 1094 | 50% | 2022-12-17 | Lost |
| 980 | 1073 | 37% | 2022-05-20 | Lost |
| 1136 | 1031 | 65% | 2022-04-21 | Lost |
| 1008 | 974 | 55% | 2022-04-10 | Lost |
| 1213 | 754 | 93% | 2022-02-20 | Won |
| 1091 | 1042 | 57% | 2022-01-10 | Won |
| 1046 | 1046 | 50% | 2021-11-28 | Lost |
| 1179 | 1136 | 56% | 2021-11-19 | Lost |
| 1054 | 1101 | 43% | 2021-10-12 | Won |
| 1213 | 1344 | 32% | 2021-06-19 | Lost |
| 1213 | 1344 | 32% | 2021-06-17 | Lost |
| 1017 | 1036 | 47% | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1091.1 vs 1072.9 has a 52.61% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).