Fresh Grist
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 43 (14 on the archive and 29 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 21
Defender wins (Chinese): 22
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 903 | 903 | 50% | 2024-10-07 | Lost |
| 1090 | 1090 | 50% | 2023-07-16 | Lost |
| 973 | 903 | 60% | 2023-03-24 | Won |
| 1100 | 1063 | 55% | 2022-12-17 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1031 | 59% | 2022-05-20 | Lost |
| 1146 | 1036 | 65% | 2022-04-21 | Lost |
| 903 | 945 | 44% | 2022-04-10 | Lost |
| 1257 | 749 | 95% | 2022-02-20 | Won |
| 1048 | 1116 | 40% | 2022-01-10 | Won |
| 1046 | 1046 | 50% | 2021-11-28 | Lost |
| 1172 | 1116 | 58% | 2021-11-19 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1095 | 67% | 2021-10-12 | Won |
| 1257 | 1218 | 56% | 2021-06-19 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1117 | 38% | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1088.4 vs 1030.6 has a 58.24% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).