Fresh Grist
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 45 (16 on the archive and 29 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 16
Defender wins (Chinese): 29
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 879 | 910 | 46% | 2025-12-30 | Lost |
| 1303 | 1283 | 53% | 2025-08-05 | Lost |
| 985 | 967 | 53% | 2024-10-07 | Lost |
| 1079 | 1079 | 50% | 2023-07-16 | Lost |
| 972 | 985 | 48% | 2023-03-24 | Won |
| 1084 | 1094 | 49% | 2022-12-17 | Lost |
| 991 | 1094 | 36% | 2022-05-20 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1045 | 63% | 2022-04-21 | Lost |
| 985 | 975 | 51% | 2022-04-10 | Lost |
| 1239 | 755 | 94% | 2022-02-20 | Won |
| 1090 | 1073 | 52% | 2022-01-10 | Won |
| 1049 | 1037 | 52% | 2021-11-28 | Lost |
| 1179 | 1135 | 56% | 2021-11-19 | Lost |
| 1102 | 1100 | 50% | 2021-10-12 | Won |
| 1239 | 1219 | 53% | 2021-06-19 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1084 | 41% | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1083.4 vs 1052.2 has a 54.48% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).