Fresh Grist
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 46 (17 on the archive and 29 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 16
Defender wins (Chinese): 30
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 919 | 898 | 53% | 2025-12-30 | | Lost |
| 1310 | 1242 | 60% | 2025-08-05 | | Lost |
| 981 | 1000 | 47% | 2024-10-07 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1062 | 41% | 2023-07-16 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 981 | 53% | 2023-03-24 | | Won |
| 1157 | 1078 | 61% | 2022-12-17 | | Lost |
| 933 | 1183 | 19% | 2022-05-20 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1032 | 45% | 2022-04-21 | | Lost |
| 981 | 1000 | 47% | 2022-04-10 | | Lost |
| 1292 | 728 | 96% | 2022-02-20 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1007 | 49% | 2022-01-10 | | Won |
| 1066 | 1000 | 59% | 2021-11-28 | | Lost |
| 1178 | 1132 | 57% | 2021-11-19 | | Lost |
| 1143 | 1101 | 56% | 2021-10-12 | | Won |
| 1292 | 1344 | 43% | 2021-06-19 | | Lost |
| 1292 | 1344 | 43% | 2021-06-17 | | Lost |
| 1018 | 1086 | 40% | | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1091.9 vs 1071.6 has a 52.91% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).