The Horse They Never Rode
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 18 (4 on the archive and 14 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 12
Defender wins (Communist Chinese): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1106 | 1127 | 47% | 2024-04-06 | Won |
| 1107 | 918 | 75% | 2022-11-05 | Won |
| 1244 | 943 | 85% | 2022-07-30 | Lost |
| 943 | 1233 | 16% | 2021-10-16 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1100 vs 1055.3 has a 56.4% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).