The Horse They Never Rode
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 19 (5 on the archive and 14 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 6
Defender wins (Communist Chinese): 13
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1109 | 1117 | 49% | 2024-04-06 | Won |
| 1212 | 1186 | 54% | 2023-06-20 | Lost |
| 1122 | 906 | 78% | 2022-11-05 | Won |
| 1243 | 973 | 83% | 2022-07-30 | Lost |
| 973 | 1254 | 17% | 2021-10-16 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1131.8 vs 1087.2 has a 56.38% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).