A Greek Tragedy
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 31 (10 on the archive and 21 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Greek): 19
Defender wins (Italian): 11
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Greek): 0
Defender wins (Italian): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1042 | 1213 | 27% | 2025-10-12 | Won |
| 915 | 1071 | 29% | 2025-05-18 | Lost |
| 1164 | 1028 | 69% | 2022-07-07 | Won |
| 886 | 1230 | 12% | 2022-05-06 | Lost |
| 1228 | 879 | 88% | 2022-03-18 | Won |
| 886 | 950 | 41% | 2022-03-05 | Won |
| 1060 | 886 | 73% | 2022-02-11 | Won |
| 1053 | 974 | 61% | 2022-01-10 | Won |
| 1266 | 1319 | 42% | 2021-12-12 | Lost |
| 1144 | 1140 | 51% | 2021-10-10 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1064.4 vs 1069 has a 49.34% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).