Chateau of Death
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 38 (12 on the archive and 26 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 16
Defender wins (British): 22
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1141 | 753 | 90% | 2025-12-30 | Won |
| 753 | 1141 | 10% | 2025-11-19 | Lost |
| 960 | 1028 | 40% | 2024-10-14 | Won |
| 1103 | 1208 | 35% | 2023-07-29 | Lost |
| 989 | 952 | 55% | 2023-07-28 | Won |
| 930 | 1004 | 40% | 2023-03-02 | Lost |
| 1134 | 974 | 72% | 2022-12-04 | Won |
| 1003 | 977 | 54% | 2022-08-02 | Lost |
| 1172 | 1099 | 60% | 2022-04-14 | Won |
| 1220 | 1080 | 69% | 2022-03-17 | Lost |
| 1075 | 1058 | 52% | 2022-03-11 | Lost |
| 985 | 1218 | 21% | 2022-03-11 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1038.8 vs 1041 has a 49.68% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).