Chateau of Death
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 38 (12 on the archive and 26 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 16
Defender wins (British): 22
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1140 | 733 | 91% | 2025-12-30 | Won |
| 733 | 1140 | 9% | 2025-11-19 | Lost |
| 1012 | 1028 | 48% | 2024-10-14 | Won |
| 1101 | 1200 | 36% | 2023-07-29 | Lost |
| 989 | 1035 | 43% | 2023-07-28 | Won |
| 930 | 1004 | 40% | 2023-03-02 | Lost |
| 1151 | 1024 | 68% | 2022-12-04 | Won |
| 1045 | 980 | 59% | 2022-08-02 | Lost |
| 1248 | 991 | 81% | 2022-04-14 | Won |
| 1282 | 1080 | 76% | 2022-03-17 | Lost |
| 1075 | 1058 | 52% | 2022-03-11 | Lost |
| 968 | 1218 | 19% | 2022-03-11 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1056.2 vs 1040.9 has a 52.19% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).