The Beleaguered Capital
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 23 (5 on the archive and 19 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Nationalists): 7
Defender wins (Republicans): 16
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Nationalists): 0
Defender wins (Republicans): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1022 | 1000 | 53% | 2023-01-22 | A | Lost |
| 1103 | 905 | 76% | 2022-10-06 | | Lost |
| 1101 | 1079 | 53% | 2022-06-14 | | Lost |
| 1181 | 1037 | 70% | 2022-03-18 | | Lost |
| 1222 | 1093 | 68% | 2022-01-09 | | Won |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1125.8 vs 1022.8 has a 64.4% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).