The Beleaguered Capital
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 25 (6 on the archive and 19 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Nationalists): 7
Defender wins (Republicans): 17
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Nationalists): 0
Defender wins (Republicans): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1084 | 1084 | 50% | 2023-01-22 | Lost |
| 1203 | 904 | 85% | 2022-10-06 | Lost |
| 1097 | 1218 | 33% | 2022-06-14 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1021 | 67% | 2022-03-18 | Lost |
| 1209 | 1061 | 70% | 2022-03-15 | Lost |
| 1232 | 999 | 79% | 2022-01-09 | Won |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1161 vs 1047.8 has a 65.73% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).