Our Place In the Sun
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 5
Attacker wins (Eritrean): 4
Defender wins (Ethiopian): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1127 | 1063 | 59% | 2024-08-01 | Won |
| 1017 | 1017 | 50% | 2022-09-14 | Won |
| 1014 | 972 | 56% | 2022-08-28 | Lost |
| 974 | 1083 | 35% | 2022-03-05 | Won |
| 891 | 946 | 42% | 2022-03-03 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1004.6 vs 1016.2 has a 48.33% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).