The Golden Mountain
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15 (8 on the archive and 7 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Ethiopian): 6
Defender wins (Italian/Eritrean): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 942 | 942 | 50% | 2025-04-05 | Lost |
| 929 | 937 | 49% | 2024-08-18 | Won |
| 1219 | 885 | 87% | 2022-11-28 | Lost |
| 1106 | 1272 | 28% | 2022-05-31 | Won |
| 981 | 1165 | 26% | 2022-05-17 | Won |
| 1090 | 974 | 66% | 2022-05-14 | Lost |
| 943 | 1005 | 41% | 2022-03-27 | Won |
| 949 | 1257 | 15% | 2022-02-19 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1019.9 vs 1054.6 has a 45.02% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).