The Golden Mountain
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16 (9 on the archive and 7 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Ethiopian): 10
Defender wins (Italian/Eritrean): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1081 | 1065 | 52% | 2025-08-25 | Won |
| 911 | 925 | 48% | 2025-04-05 | Lost |
| 941 | 962 | 47% | 2024-08-18 | Won |
| 1188 | 902 | 84% | 2022-11-28 | Lost |
| 1103 | 1284 | 26% | 2022-05-31 | Won |
| 985 | 1065 | 39% | 2022-05-17 | Won |
| 1099 | 974 | 67% | 2022-05-14 | Lost |
| 948 | 1126 | 26% | 2022-03-27 | Won |
| 1000 | 1275 | 17% | 2022-02-19 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1028.4 vs 1064.2 has a 44.87% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).