The Golden Mountain
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16 (9 on the archive and 7 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Ethiopian): 10
Defender wins (Italian/Eritrean): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1070 | 1070 | 50% | 2025-08-25 | Won |
| 910 | 925 | 48% | 2025-04-05 | Lost |
| 953 | 956 | 50% | 2024-08-18 | Won |
| 1203 | 872 | 87% | 2022-11-28 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1275 | 28% | 2022-05-31 | Won |
| 952 | 1070 | 34% | 2022-05-17 | Won |
| 1088 | 974 | 66% | 2022-05-14 | Lost |
| 949 | 937 | 52% | 2022-03-27 | Won |
| 937 | 1254 | 14% | 2022-02-19 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1019.1 vs 1037 has a 47.43% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).