Circle the Wagons!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 11 (6 on the archive and 5 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Ethiopian): 2
Defender wins (Italian/Eritrean): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1003 | 1110 | 35% | 2025-12-06 | Lost |
| 993 | 1025 | 45% | 2023-09-24 | Lost |
| 948 | 1025 | 39% | 2023-07-21 | Lost |
| 1041 | 997 | 56% | 2022-05-28 | Tied |
| 968 | 1066 | 36% | 2022-05-19 | Lost |
| 1025 | 990 | 55% | 2022-04-16 | Lost |
Attacking (0 wins) average ELOs: 996.3 vs 1035.5 has a 44.39% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).