Red Don
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 17 (7 on the archive and 10 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 8
Defender wins (Italian): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 981 | 1000 | 47% | 2026-05-02 | | Lost |
| 1226 | 1145 | 61% | 2026-04-04 | | Lost |
| 1092 | 1133 | 44% | 2023-02-22 | | Won |
| 1219 | 1171 | 57% | 2023-02-01 | | Won |
| 1154 | 1008 | 70% | 2022-08-27 | | Lost |
| 878 | 1102 | 22% | 2022-07-17 | | Lost |
| 1134 | 992 | 69% | 2022-03-21 | | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1097.7 vs 1078.7 has a 52.73% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).