Sternebeck's Sortie
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 25
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 8
Defender wins (American): 16
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 0
Defender wins (American): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 990 | 1120 | 32% | 2024-12-17 | Lost |
| 1149 | 1057 | 63% | 2024-03-23 | Won |
| 1044 | 1044 | 50% | 2024-01-07 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2023-08-06 | Lost |
| 1207 | 1122 | 62% | 2023-05-01 | Lost |
| 753 | 1193 | 7% | 2023-04-21 | Lost |
| 789 | 1029 | 20% | 2023-04-12 | Lost |
| 1282 | 1275 | 51% | 2023-04-10 | Won |
| 1016 | 1033 | 48% | 2023-04-08 | Lost |
| 1210 | 1032 | 74% | 2023-04-03 | Lost |
| 1039 | 927 | 66% | 2023-03-04 | Lost |
| 951 | 1207 | 19% | 2023-03-04 | Lost |
| 1086 | 930 | 71% | 2023-03-04 | Lost |
| 1063 | 1109 | 43% | 2023-03-03 | Lost |
| 1087 | 1008 | 61% | 2023-02-26 | Lost |
| 1109 | 1095 | 52% | 2023-02-17 | Lost |
| 1086 | 1028 | 58% | 2023-01-30 | Lost |
| 1061 | 910 | 70% | 2023-01-02 | Won |
| 1096 | 1316 | 22% | 2022-11-09 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1282 | 31% | 2022-11-04 | Lost |
| 927 | 776 | 70% | 2022-07-15 | Won |
| 1210 | 937 | 83% | 2022-06-03 | Won |
| 966 | 909 | 58% | 2022-05-29 | Won |
| 1020 | 1022 | 50% | 2022-05-13 | Won |
| 1032 | 1228 | 24% | 2022-04-25 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1056.1 vs 1067.1 has a 48.42% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).