Sternebeck's Sortie
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 25
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 8
Defender wins (American): 16
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 0
Defender wins (American): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 998 | 1132 | 32% | 2024-12-17 | Lost |
| 1156 | 1057 | 64% | 2024-03-23 | Won |
| 1044 | 1044 | 50% | 2024-01-07 | Lost |
| 1087 | 1087 | 50% | 2023-08-06 | Lost |
| 1143 | 1122 | 53% | 2023-05-01 | Lost |
| 747 | 1220 | 6% | 2023-04-21 | Lost |
| 789 | 1036 | 19% | 2023-04-12 | Lost |
| 1269 | 1278 | 49% | 2023-04-10 | Won |
| 1016 | 1033 | 48% | 2023-04-08 | Lost |
| 1182 | 1020 | 72% | 2023-04-03 | Lost |
| 1098 | 941 | 71% | 2023-03-04 | Lost |
| 951 | 1143 | 25% | 2023-03-04 | Lost |
| 941 | 1048 | 35% | 2023-03-04 | Lost |
| 1071 | 1102 | 46% | 2023-03-03 | Lost |
| 1075 | 1010 | 59% | 2023-02-26 | Lost |
| 1102 | 1098 | 51% | 2023-02-17 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1028 | 60% | 2023-01-30 | Lost |
| 1052 | 961 | 63% | 2023-01-02 | Won |
| 1096 | 1329 | 21% | 2022-11-09 | Lost |
| 1146 | 1269 | 33% | 2022-11-04 | Lost |
| 1048 | 767 | 83% | 2022-07-15 | Won |
| 1180 | 900 | 83% | 2022-06-03 | Won |
| 998 | 910 | 62% | 2022-05-29 | Won |
| 1023 | 1025 | 50% | 2022-05-13 | Won |
| 1032 | 1204 | 27% | 2022-04-25 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1053.7 vs 1070.6 has a 47.57% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).