Sternebeck's Sortie
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 25
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 8
Defender wins (American): 16
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 0
Defender wins (American): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 976 | 1136 | 28% | 2024-12-17 | Lost |
| 1124 | 1060 | 59% | 2024-03-23 | Won |
| 1044 | 1044 | 50% | 2024-01-07 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2023-08-06 | Lost |
| 1134 | 1121 | 52% | 2023-05-01 | Lost |
| 755 | 1232 | 6% | 2023-04-21 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1065 | 50% | 2023-04-12 | Lost |
| 1170 | 1276 | 35% | 2023-04-10 | Won |
| 1002 | 1033 | 46% | 2023-04-08 | Lost |
| 1235 | 991 | 80% | 2023-04-03 | Lost |
| 1072 | 975 | 64% | 2023-03-04 | Lost |
| 949 | 1134 | 26% | 2023-03-04 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1018 | 71% | 2023-03-04 | Lost |
| 923 | 1112 | 25% | 2023-03-03 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1019 | 61% | 2023-02-26 | Lost |
| 1112 | 1100 | 52% | 2023-02-17 | Lost |
| 1072 | 1028 | 56% | 2023-01-30 | Lost |
| 1045 | 931 | 66% | 2023-01-02 | Won |
| 1157 | 1252 | 37% | 2022-11-09 | Lost |
| 1176 | 1170 | 51% | 2022-11-04 | Lost |
| 1018 | 780 | 80% | 2022-07-15 | Won |
| 1055 | 904 | 70% | 2022-06-03 | Won |
| 866 | 910 | 44% | 2022-05-29 | Won |
| 1026 | 1026 | 50% | 2022-05-13 | Won |
| 992 | 1218 | 21% | 2022-04-25 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1053.1 vs 1064.9 has a 48.3% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).