Sternebeck's Sortie
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 25
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 8
Defender wins (American): 16
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 0
Defender wins (American): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 943 | 1123 | 26% | 2024-12-17 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2024-03-23 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2024-01-07 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2023-08-06 | Lost |
| 1161 | 1000 | 72% | 2023-05-01 | Lost |
| 956 | 1256 | 15% | 2023-04-21 | Lost |
| 1105 | 1104 | 50% | 2023-04-12 | Lost |
| 1047 | 1000 | 57% | 2023-04-10 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2023-04-08 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1034 | 50% | 2023-04-03 | Lost |
| 1097 | 949 | 70% | 2023-03-04 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1161 | 28% | 2023-03-04 | Lost |
| 905 | 1000 | 37% | 2023-03-04 | Lost |
| 1310 | 1089 | 78% | 2023-03-03 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2023-02-26 | Lost |
| 1089 | 1035 | 58% | 2023-02-17 | Lost |
| 1081 | 1000 | 61% | 2023-01-30 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1000 | 51% | 2023-01-02 | Won |
| 900 | 1304 | 9% | 2022-11-09 | Lost |
| 1129 | 1034 | 63% | 2022-11-04 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2022-07-15 | Won |
| 1000 | 899 | 64% | 2022-06-03 | Won |
| 866 | 1000 | 32% | 2022-05-29 | Won |
| 1000 | 981 | 53% | 2022-05-13 | Won |
| 1005 | 967 | 55% | 2022-04-25 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1029.1 vs 1041 has a 48.29% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).