One Story Town
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 53 (21 on the archive and 32 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Finnish): 23
Defender wins (Russian): 29
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Finnish): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 954 | 1198 | 20% | 2025-07-03 | Won |
| 1115 | 1127 | 48% | 2025-06-22 | Won |
| 967 | 1065 | 36% | 2024-11-22 | Lost |
| 743 | 1257 | 5% | 2024-10-14 | Lost |
| 922 | 1030 | 35% | 2024-10-04 | Lost |
| 1032 | 964 | 60% | 2024-05-19 | Won |
| 1000 | 994 | 51% | 2024-05-19 | Lost |
| 1075 | 1041 | 55% | 2024-02-02 | Lost |
| 1051 | 1105 | 42% | 2024-01-18 | Lost |
| 1123 | 1064 | 58% | 2023-12-30 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1070 | 42% | 2023-12-05 | Won |
| 893 | 1086 | 25% | 2023-10-05 | Lost |
| 762 | 1043 | 17% | 2023-09-28 | Lost |
| 1084 | 982 | 64% | 2023-09-12 | Lost |
| 1008 | 1152 | 30% | 2023-08-07 | Lost |
| 981 | 947 | 55% | 2023-07-29 | Lost |
| 1035 | 1029 | 51% | 2023-04-11 | Won |
| 1091 | 1158 | 40% | 2023-03-04 | Won |
| 1091 | 1040 | 57% | 2023-03-01 | Won |
| 1141 | 947 | 75% | 2023-01-21 | Won |
| 1176 | 1152 | 53% | 2023-01-15 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1012.1 vs 1069.1 has a 41.88% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).