One Story Town
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 55 (22 on the archive and 33 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Finnish): 28
Defender wins (Russian): 26
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Finnish): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 965 | 843 | 67% | 2025-11-30 | Lost |
| 940 | 1194 | 19% | 2025-07-03 | Won |
| 1143 | 1174 | 46% | 2025-06-22 | Won |
| 969 | 1078 | 35% | 2024-11-22 | Lost |
| 734 | 1282 | 4% | 2024-10-14 | Lost |
| 910 | 1028 | 34% | 2024-10-04 | Lost |
| 995 | 984 | 52% | 2024-05-19 | Won |
| 1048 | 990 | 58% | 2024-05-19 | Lost |
| 1083 | 997 | 62% | 2024-02-02 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1173 | 36% | 2024-01-18 | Lost |
| 1093 | 1074 | 53% | 2023-12-30 | Lost |
| 1048 | 1047 | 50% | 2023-12-05 | Won |
| 875 | 1086 | 23% | 2023-10-05 | Lost |
| 773 | 1021 | 19% | 2023-09-28 | Lost |
| 1024 | 1048 | 47% | 2023-09-12 | Lost |
| 1027 | 1137 | 35% | 2023-08-07 | Lost |
| 981 | 986 | 49% | 2023-07-29 | Lost |
| 1040 | 1018 | 53% | 2023-04-11 | Won |
| 1057 | 1173 | 34% | 2023-03-04 | Won |
| 1057 | 1040 | 52% | 2023-03-01 | Won |
| 1204 | 1033 | 73% | 2023-01-21 | Won |
| 1153 | 1137 | 52% | 2023-01-15 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1008.8 vs 1070.1 has a 41.26% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).