One Story Town
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 55 (22 on the archive and 33 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Finnish): 28
Defender wins (Russian): 26
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Finnish): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 967 | 845 | 67% | 2025-11-30 | Lost |
| 931 | 1102 | 27% | 2025-07-03 | Won |
| 1145 | 1159 | 48% | 2025-06-22 | Won |
| 952 | 1098 | 30% | 2024-11-22 | Lost |
| 755 | 1232 | 6% | 2024-10-14 | Lost |
| 918 | 1011 | 37% | 2024-10-04 | Lost |
| 1008 | 991 | 52% | 2024-05-19 | Won |
| 1068 | 990 | 61% | 2024-05-19 | Lost |
| 1094 | 991 | 64% | 2024-02-02 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1202 | 32% | 2024-01-18 | Lost |
| 1073 | 1074 | 50% | 2023-12-30 | Lost |
| 1048 | 997 | 57% | 2023-12-05 | Won |
| 879 | 1080 | 24% | 2023-10-05 | Lost |
| 780 | 1018 | 20% | 2023-09-28 | Lost |
| 1027 | 1039 | 48% | 2023-09-12 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1176 | 30% | 2023-08-07 | Lost |
| 981 | 1054 | 40% | 2023-07-29 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1037 | 49% | 2023-04-11 | Won |
| 1072 | 1174 | 36% | 2023-03-04 | Won |
| 1072 | 1012 | 59% | 2023-03-01 | Won |
| 1235 | 991 | 80% | 2023-01-21 | Won |
| 1061 | 1176 | 34% | 2023-01-15 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1009.1 vs 1065.9 has a 41.9% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).