One Story Town
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 59 (23 on the archive and 36 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Finnish): 25
Defender wins (Russian): 33
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Finnish): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1060 | 1019 | 56% | 2026-05-22 | Won |
| 944 | 843 | 64% | 2025-11-30 | Lost |
| 977 | 1079 | 36% | 2025-07-03 | Won |
| 1125 | 1109 | 52% | 2025-06-22 | Won |
| 961 | 1146 | 26% | 2024-11-22 | Lost |
| 739 | 1220 | 6% | 2024-10-14 | Lost |
| 924 | 1035 | 35% | 2024-10-04 | Lost |
| 1012 | 984 | 54% | 2024-05-19 | Won |
| 1060 | 990 | 60% | 2024-05-19 | Lost |
| 1167 | 939 | 79% | 2024-02-02 | Lost |
| 1073 | 1204 | 32% | 2024-01-18 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1078 | 43% | 2023-12-30 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1038 | 54% | 2023-12-05 | Won |
| 891 | 1021 | 32% | 2023-10-05 | Lost |
| 780 | 997 | 22% | 2023-09-28 | Lost |
| 973 | 1090 | 34% | 2023-09-12 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1243 | 23% | 2023-08-07 | Lost |
| 981 | 1045 | 41% | 2023-07-29 | Lost |
| 1052 | 1052 | 50% | 2023-04-11 | Won |
| 1030 | 1122 | 37% | 2023-03-04 | Won |
| 1030 | 1039 | 49% | 2023-03-01 | Won |
| 1174 | 1114 | 59% | 2023-01-21 | Won |
| 1044 | 1243 | 24% | 2023-01-15 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1005.3 vs 1071.7 has a 40.56% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).