Death on the French Coast
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 35 (12 on the archive and 23 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 14
Defender wins (French): 21
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1227 | 1253 | 46% | 2026-06-14 | Won |
| 1205 | 1073 | 68% | 2025-12-02 | Lost |
| 848 | 1065 | 22% | 2025-06-12 | Lost |
| 993 | 945 | 57% | 2025-04-10 | Lost |
| 966 | 1084 | 34% | 2024-11-18 | Lost |
| 1146 | 1193 | 43% | 2024-03-06 | Lost |
| 1082 | 1082 | 50% | 2023-11-07 | Lost |
| 856 | 890 | 45% | 2023-04-14 | Won |
| 976 | 780 | 76% | 2023-04-06 | Won |
| 953 | 982 | 46% | 2023-02-28 | Won |
| 1160 | 945 | 78% | 2023-01-15 | Won |
| 1179 | 1044 | 69% | 2023-01-13 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1049.3 vs 1028 has a 53.05% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).