Death at the Cement Plant
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 66 (22 on the archive and 44 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 26
Defender wins (Russian): 39
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1081 | 1128 | 43% | 2024-10-17 | Lost |
| 1066 | 966 | 64% | 2024-07-20 | Won |
| 1030 | 1032 | 50% | 2024-06-05 | Won |
| 1110 | 1043 | 60% | 2023-10-07 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1016 | 63% | 2023-10-07 | Lost |
| 1032 | 977 | 58% | 2023-10-04 | Lost |
| 1126 | 1407 | 17% | 2023-06-11 | Tied |
| 1030 | 1316 | 16% | 2023-06-10 | Lost |
| 1087 | 1316 | 21% | 2023-06-10 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1126 | 38% | 2023-05-31 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1098 | 41% | 2023-04-08 | Won |
| 1137 | 1029 | 65% | 2023-03-25 | Won |
| 1166 | 1282 | 34% | 2023-03-18 | Lost |
| 927 | 1048 | 33% | 2023-03-02 | Won |
| 1004 | 939 | 59% | 2023-03-02 | Won |
| 1059 | 1008 | 57% | 2023-03-01 | Won |
| 1009 | 973 | 55% | 2023-02-11 | Won |
| 1054 | 957 | 64% | 2023-01-28 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1316 | 22% | 2023-01-23 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1109 | 40% | 2023-01-20 | Lost |
| 976 | 1210 | 21% | 2023-01-14 | Won |
| 1121 | 1117 | 51% | | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1060.5 vs 1109.7 has a 42.96% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).