Death at the Cement Plant
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 68 (24 on the archive and 44 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 37
Defender wins (Russian): 30
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1180 | 1084 | 63% | 2025-06-21 | Lost |
| 1105 | 1131 | 46% | 2024-10-17 | Lost |
| 1065 | 887 | 74% | 2024-07-20 | Won |
| 1032 | 805 | 79% | 2024-06-05 | Won |
| 1106 | 1024 | 62% | 2023-10-07 | Lost |
| 1106 | 1039 | 60% | 2023-10-07 | Lost |
| 1047 | 1022 | 54% | 2023-10-04 | Lost |
| 1122 | 1419 | 15% | 2023-06-11 | Tied |
| 1064 | 1333 | 18% | 2023-06-10 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1333 | 15% | 2023-06-10 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1124 | 40% | 2023-05-31 | Lost |
| 1047 | 1100 | 42% | 2023-04-08 | Won |
| 1152 | 1002 | 70% | 2023-03-25 | Won |
| 989 | 1215 | 21% | 2023-03-18 | Lost |
| 1004 | 930 | 60% | 2023-03-02 | Won |
| 1044 | 1049 | 49% | 2023-03-02 | Won |
| 1059 | 1013 | 57% | 2023-03-01 | Won |
| 996 | 973 | 53% | 2023-02-11 | Won |
| 713 | 1152 | 7% | 2023-02-08 | Lost |
| 1016 | 975 | 56% | 2023-01-28 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1333 | 20% | 2023-01-23 | Lost |
| 1040 | 1112 | 40% | 2023-01-20 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1204 | 25% | 2023-01-14 | Won |
| 1089 | 1103 | 48% | | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1048.9 vs 1098.4 has a 42.92% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).