Death at the Cement Plant
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 68 (24 on the archive and 44 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 27
Defender wins (Russian): 40
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1180 | 1044 | 69% | 2025-06-21 | Lost |
| 1105 | 1131 | 46% | 2024-10-17 | Lost |
| 1065 | 950 | 66% | 2024-07-20 | Won |
| 1031 | 947 | 62% | 2024-06-05 | Won |
| 1107 | 1013 | 63% | 2023-10-07 | Lost |
| 1107 | 1039 | 60% | 2023-10-07 | Lost |
| 1045 | 1009 | 55% | 2023-10-04 | Lost |
| 1122 | 1416 | 16% | 2023-06-11 | Tied |
| 1093 | 1329 | 20% | 2023-06-10 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1329 | 15% | 2023-06-10 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1109 | 43% | 2023-05-31 | Lost |
| 1045 | 1100 | 42% | 2023-04-08 | Won |
| 1146 | 1028 | 66% | 2023-03-25 | Won |
| 990 | 1242 | 19% | 2023-03-18 | Lost |
| 1004 | 939 | 59% | 2023-03-02 | Won |
| 1044 | 1049 | 49% | 2023-03-02 | Won |
| 1059 | 1005 | 58% | 2023-03-01 | Won |
| 996 | 988 | 51% | 2023-02-11 | Won |
| 712 | 1152 | 7% | 2023-02-08 | Lost |
| 1014 | 972 | 56% | 2023-01-28 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1329 | 21% | 2023-01-23 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1111 | 40% | 2023-01-20 | Lost |
| 985 | 1177 | 25% | 2023-01-14 | Won |
| 1090 | 1090 | 50% | | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1048.6 vs 1104.1 has a 42.08% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).