Death at the Cement Plant
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 70 (24 on the archive and 46 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 38
Defender wins (Russian): 31
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1218 | 1094 | 67% | 2025-06-21 | Lost |
| 1111 | 1142 | 46% | 2024-10-17 | Lost |
| 1151 | 891 | 82% | 2024-07-20 | Won |
| 1030 | 991 | 56% | 2024-06-05 | Won |
| 1123 | 1023 | 64% | 2023-10-07 | Lost |
| 1123 | 1055 | 60% | 2023-10-07 | Lost |
| 997 | 1022 | 46% | 2023-10-04 | Lost |
| 1123 | 1423 | 15% | 2023-06-11 | Tied |
| 993 | 1252 | 18% | 2023-06-10 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1252 | 22% | 2023-06-10 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1125 | 46% | 2023-05-31 | Lost |
| 997 | 1100 | 36% | 2023-04-08 | Won |
| 1152 | 1065 | 62% | 2023-03-25 | Won |
| 989 | 1167 | 26% | 2023-03-18 | Lost |
| 1004 | 930 | 60% | 2023-03-02 | Won |
| 1018 | 1048 | 46% | 2023-03-02 | Won |
| 1059 | 1019 | 56% | 2023-03-01 | Won |
| 999 | 1023 | 47% | 2023-02-11 | Won |
| 733 | 1140 | 9% | 2023-02-08 | Lost |
| 950 | 1075 | 33% | 2023-01-28 | Lost |
| 1157 | 1252 | 37% | 2023-01-23 | Lost |
| 1012 | 1112 | 36% | 2023-01-20 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1235 | 28% | 2023-01-14 | Won |
| 1096 | 1084 | 52% | | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1051.3 vs 1105 has a 42.33% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).