Down Number Two Road
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 30 (10 on the archive and 20 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 20
Defender wins (Japanese): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1007 | 1000 | 51% | 2024-12-22 | | Won |
| 948 | 1000 | 43% | 2024-03-08 | | Won |
| 1000 | 865 | 69% | 2024-02-24 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1055 | 42% | 2024-02-01 | | Lost |
| 1064 | 1000 | 59% | 2023-11-18 | | Won |
| 1003 | 1110 | 35% | 2023-10-06 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1149 | 30% | 2023-10-06 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1108 | 35% | 2023-07-28 | | Won |
| 1111 | 1089 | 53% | 2023-01-17 | | Won |
| 1086 | 1000 | 62% | | | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1021.9 vs 1037.6 has a 47.74% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).