Down Number Two Road
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 31 (11 on the archive and 20 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 21
Defender wins (Japanese): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1031 | 1030 | 50% | 2024-12-22 | Won |
| 948 | 1007 | 42% | 2024-03-08 | Won |
| 865 | 865 | 50% | 2024-02-24 | Won |
| 1066 | 1066 | 50% | 2024-02-01 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1155 | 40% | 2023-11-18 | Won |
| 1038 | 1127 | 37% | 2023-10-06 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1102 | 38% | 2023-10-06 | Lost |
| 1107 | 1107 | 50% | 2023-07-28 | Won |
| 1185 | 1007 | 74% | 2023-03-08 | Won |
| 952 | 1156 | 24% | 2023-01-17 | Won |
| 1074 | 1074 | 50% | | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1033.2 vs 1063.3 has a 45.68% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).