Down Number Two Road
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 28 (11 on the archive and 17 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 19
Defender wins (Japanese): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1116 | 1067 | 57% | 2024-12-22 | Won |
| 943 | 959 | 48% | 2024-03-08 | Won |
| 865 | 865 | 50% | 2024-02-24 | Won |
| 1088 | 1074 | 52% | 2024-02-01 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1155 | 47% | 2023-11-18 | Won |
| 1046 | 1154 | 35% | 2023-10-06 | Lost |
| 999 | 1248 | 19% | 2023-10-06 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1094 | 50% | 2023-07-28 | Won |
| 1189 | 959 | 79% | 2023-03-08 | Won |
| 1044 | 949 | 63% | 2023-01-17 | Won |
| 1117 | 1121 | 49% | | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1057.5 vs 1058.6 has a 49.84% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).