Hot Toddy
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 47 (17 on the archive and 30 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 20
Defender wins (British/American): 26
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (British/American): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 928 | 909 | 53% | 2025-03-16 | Won |
| 983 | 1110 | 32% | 2025-02-09 | Won |
| 948 | 1029 | 39% | 2024-03-02 | Lost |
| 993 | 1032 | 44% | 2023-11-05 | Won |
| 1163 | 976 | 75% | 2023-10-03 | Won |
| 1108 | 1108 | 50% | 2023-08-16 | Won |
| 1185 | 1223 | 45% | 2023-05-24 | Won |
| 993 | 1033 | 44% | 2023-04-26 | Won |
| 939 | 1029 | 37% | 2023-03-26 | Won |
| 965 | 987 | 47% | 2023-03-25 | Won |
| 1060 | 1220 | 28% | 2023-03-17 | Won |
| 1131 | 1042 | 63% | 2023-03-02 | Won |
| 901 | 1178 | 17% | 2023-02-11 | Lost |
| 907 | 881 | 54% | 2023-01-15 | Lost |
| 1002 | 984 | 53% | 2023-01-13 | Lost |
| 929 | 970 | 44% | 2023-01-13 | Won |
| 1056 | 1120 | 41% | 2023-01-12 | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1011.2 vs 1048.9 has a 44.6% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).