Hot Toddy
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 32 (12 on the archive and 20 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 24
Defender wins (British/American): 7
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (British/American): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
943 | 1000 | 42% | 2023-11-05 | Won |
1115 | 1115 | 50% | 2023-08-16 | Won |
1093 | 1300 | 23% | 2023-05-24 | Won |
985 | 1137 | 29% | 2023-04-26 | Won |
1024 | 1093 | 40% | 2023-03-26 | Won |
1020 | 949 | 60% | 2023-03-25 | Won |
1108 | 1212 | 35% | 2023-03-17 | Won |
1159 | 1070 | 63% | 2023-03-02 | Won |
1020 | 1004 | 52% | 2023-02-11 | Lost |
858 | 879 | 47% | 2023-01-15 | Lost |
1019 | 963 | 58% | 2023-01-13 | Lost |
932 | 1091 | 29% | 2023-01-13 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1023 vs 1067.8 has a 43.6% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).