Hot Toddy
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 45 (17 on the archive and 28 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 20
Defender wins (British/American): 24
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (British/American): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 942 | 954 | 48% | 2025-03-16 | Won |
| 1073 | 1117 | 44% | 2025-02-09 | Won |
| 948 | 856 | 63% | 2024-03-02 | Lost |
| 990 | 1068 | 39% | 2023-11-05 | Won |
| 1185 | 1022 | 72% | 2023-10-03 | Won |
| 1109 | 1109 | 50% | 2023-08-16 | Won |
| 1090 | 1340 | 19% | 2023-05-24 | Won |
| 1018 | 1010 | 51% | 2023-04-26 | Won |
| 940 | 856 | 62% | 2023-03-26 | Won |
| 944 | 968 | 47% | 2023-03-25 | Won |
| 1087 | 1261 | 27% | 2023-03-17 | Won |
| 1113 | 1072 | 56% | 2023-03-02 | Won |
| 1009 | 1055 | 43% | 2023-02-11 | Lost |
| 875 | 887 | 48% | 2023-01-15 | Lost |
| 1022 | 1009 | 52% | 2023-01-13 | Lost |
| 931 | 970 | 44% | 2023-01-13 | Won |
| 1054 | 1122 | 40% | 2023-01-12 | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1019.4 vs 1039.8 has a 47.07% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).