Hot Toddy
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 47 (17 on the archive and 30 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 20
Defender wins (British/American): 26
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (British/American): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 928 | 909 | 53% | 2025-03-16 | Won |
| 1021 | 1110 | 37% | 2025-02-09 | Won |
| 948 | 991 | 44% | 2024-03-02 | Lost |
| 993 | 1040 | 43% | 2023-11-05 | Won |
| 1077 | 976 | 64% | 2023-10-03 | Won |
| 1107 | 1107 | 50% | 2023-08-16 | Won |
| 1164 | 1226 | 41% | 2023-05-24 | Won |
| 1013 | 1077 | 41% | 2023-04-26 | Won |
| 939 | 991 | 43% | 2023-03-26 | Won |
| 933 | 987 | 42% | 2023-03-25 | Won |
| 1059 | 1218 | 29% | 2023-03-17 | Won |
| 1143 | 1030 | 66% | 2023-03-02 | Won |
| 976 | 1103 | 32% | 2023-02-11 | Lost |
| 891 | 891 | 50% | 2023-01-15 | Lost |
| 1038 | 992 | 57% | 2023-01-13 | Lost |
| 929 | 970 | 44% | 2023-01-13 | Won |
| 1056 | 1120 | 41% | 2023-01-12 | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1012.6 vs 1043.4 has a 45.58% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).