Hot Toddy
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 45 (17 on the archive and 28 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 34
Defender wins (British/American): 10
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (British/American): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 946 | 975 | 46% | 2025-03-16 | Won |
| 1132 | 1068 | 59% | 2025-02-09 | Won |
| 944 | 1112 | 28% | 2024-03-02 | Lost |
| 990 | 1050 | 41% | 2023-11-05 | Won |
| 1219 | 1096 | 67% | 2023-10-03 | Won |
| 1093 | 1093 | 50% | 2023-08-16 | Won |
| 1110 | 1311 | 24% | 2023-05-24 | Won |
| 1004 | 1057 | 42% | 2023-04-26 | Won |
| 940 | 1112 | 27% | 2023-03-26 | Won |
| 896 | 960 | 41% | 2023-03-25 | Won |
| 1095 | 1277 | 26% | 2023-03-17 | Won |
| 1132 | 1086 | 57% | 2023-03-02 | Won |
| 1082 | 948 | 68% | 2023-02-11 | Lost |
| 892 | 892 | 50% | 2023-01-15 | Lost |
| 976 | 1000 | 47% | 2023-01-13 | Lost |
| 930 | 969 | 44% | 2023-01-13 | Won |
| 1040 | 1107 | 40% | 2023-01-12 | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1024.8 vs 1065.5 has a 44.17% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).