Hot Toddy
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 44 (17 on the archive and 27 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 33
Defender wins (British/American): 10
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (British/American): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 946 | 944 | 50% | 2025-03-16 | Won |
| 1082 | 1067 | 52% | 2025-02-09 | Won |
| 943 | 1032 | 37% | 2024-03-02 | Lost |
| 985 | 1032 | 43% | 2023-11-05 | Won |
| 1217 | 977 | 80% | 2023-10-03 | Won |
| 1094 | 1094 | 50% | 2023-08-16 | Won |
| 1096 | 1316 | 22% | 2023-05-24 | Won |
| 1040 | 1029 | 52% | 2023-04-26 | Won |
| 977 | 1032 | 42% | 2023-03-26 | Won |
| 911 | 960 | 43% | 2023-03-25 | Won |
| 1095 | 1193 | 36% | 2023-03-17 | Won |
| 1207 | 1086 | 67% | 2023-03-02 | Won |
| 1061 | 973 | 62% | 2023-02-11 | Lost |
| 848 | 836 | 52% | 2023-01-15 | Lost |
| 957 | 1054 | 36% | 2023-01-13 | Lost |
| 932 | 968 | 45% | 2023-01-13 | Won |
| 1043 | 1110 | 40% | 2023-01-12 | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1025.5 vs 1041.4 has a 47.72% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).