Lost Opportunities
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 45 (17 on the archive and 28 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 21
Defender wins (American): 22
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (American): 0
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (American): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1076 | 916 | 72% | 2026-01-16 | Won |
| 966 | 1068 | 36% | 2025-11-02 | Won |
| 973 | 1123 | 30% | 2025-10-16 | Lost |
| 1047 | 875 | 73% | 2025-06-20 | Won |
| 1038 | 1018 | 53% | 2025-01-19 | Won |
| 942 | 755 | 75% | 2024-03-07 | Lost |
| 1040 | 971 | 60% | 2024-02-27 | Won |
| 1031 | 986 | 56% | 2024-02-11 | Won |
| 1105 | 1082 | 53% | 2023-12-20 | Won |
| 1099 | 943 | 71% | 2023-11-04 | Won |
| 1040 | 841 | 76% | 2023-08-24 | Won |
| 1125 | 1159 | 45% | 2023-06-17 | Won |
| 1043 | 1049 | 49% | 2023-05-16 | Won |
| 1218 | 985 | 79% | 2023-04-13 | Won |
| 1212 | 986 | 79% | 2023-03-10 | Won |
| 909 | 1003 | 37% | 2023-02-26 | Lost |
| 1007 | 1003 | 51% | 2023-01-16 | Won |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1051.2 vs 986.1 has a 59.27% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).