Lost Opportunities
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 40 (14 on the archive and 26 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 27
Defender wins (American): 11
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (American): 0
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (American): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1009 | 875 | 68% | 2025-06-20 | Won |
| 1037 | 1063 | 46% | 2025-01-19 | Won |
| 942 | 726 | 78% | 2024-03-07 | Lost |
| 1070 | 954 | 66% | 2024-02-27 | Won |
| 1030 | 947 | 62% | 2024-02-11 | Won |
| 1073 | 1073 | 50% | 2023-12-20 | Won |
| 1005 | 1038 | 45% | 2023-11-04 | Won |
| 1070 | 864 | 77% | 2023-08-24 | Won |
| 1115 | 1127 | 48% | 2023-06-17 | Won |
| 1029 | 1035 | 49% | 2023-05-16 | Won |
| 1180 | 1021 | 71% | 2023-04-13 | Won |
| 1141 | 947 | 75% | 2023-03-10 | Won |
| 953 | 1003 | 43% | 2023-02-26 | Lost |
| 1082 | 1003 | 61% | 2023-01-16 | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1052.6 vs 976.9 has a 60.73% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).