Lost Opportunities
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 45 (17 on the archive and 28 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 21
Defender wins (American): 22
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (American): 0
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (American): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1055 | 936 | 66% | 2026-01-16 | Won |
| 967 | 1019 | 43% | 2025-11-02 | Won |
| 972 | 1139 | 28% | 2025-10-16 | Lost |
| 994 | 875 | 66% | 2025-06-20 | Won |
| 1038 | 1052 | 48% | 2025-01-19 | Won |
| 942 | 756 | 74% | 2024-03-07 | Lost |
| 1097 | 981 | 66% | 2024-02-27 | Won |
| 1030 | 991 | 56% | 2024-02-11 | Won |
| 1082 | 1082 | 50% | 2023-12-20 | Won |
| 1057 | 986 | 60% | 2023-11-04 | Won |
| 1007 | 857 | 70% | 2023-08-24 | Won |
| 1126 | 1159 | 45% | 2023-06-17 | Won |
| 1049 | 1049 | 50% | 2023-05-16 | Won |
| 1218 | 976 | 80% | 2023-04-13 | Won |
| 1248 | 991 | 81% | 2023-03-10 | Won |
| 949 | 1003 | 42% | 2023-02-26 | Lost |
| 1081 | 1003 | 61% | 2023-01-16 | Won |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1053.6 vs 991.5 has a 58.85% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).