Lost Opportunities
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 46 (17 on the archive and 29 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 32
Defender wins (American): 12
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (American): 0
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (American): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1076 | 916 | 72% | 2026-01-16 | Won |
| 944 | 1089 | 30% | 2025-11-02 | Won |
| 986 | 1123 | 31% | 2025-10-16 | Lost |
| 972 | 875 | 64% | 2025-06-20 | Won |
| 1038 | 1019 | 53% | 2025-01-19 | Won |
| 941 | 706 | 79% | 2024-03-07 | Lost |
| 1073 | 971 | 64% | 2024-02-27 | Won |
| 1031 | 1045 | 48% | 2024-02-11 | Won |
| 1105 | 1082 | 53% | 2023-12-20 | Won |
| 1018 | 1024 | 49% | 2023-11-04 | Won |
| 1038 | 841 | 76% | 2023-08-24 | Won |
| 1125 | 1127 | 50% | 2023-06-17 | Won |
| 1052 | 1052 | 50% | 2023-05-16 | Won |
| 1218 | 972 | 80% | 2023-04-13 | Won |
| 1174 | 1045 | 68% | 2023-03-10 | Won |
| 939 | 1003 | 41% | 2023-02-26 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1003 | 53% | 2023-01-16 | Won |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1044.2 vs 993.7 has a 57.21% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).