Lost Opportunities
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 37 (13 on the archive and 24 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 25
Defender wins (American): 10
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (American): 0
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (American): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1038 | 1003 | 55% | 2025-01-19 | Won |
| 942 | 831 | 65% | 2024-03-07 | Lost |
| 1140 | 940 | 76% | 2024-02-27 | Won |
| 1030 | 959 | 60% | 2024-02-11 | Won |
| 1073 | 1073 | 50% | 2023-12-20 | Won |
| 1021 | 1023 | 50% | 2023-11-04 | Won |
| 1046 | 861 | 74% | 2023-08-24 | Won |
| 1152 | 1136 | 52% | 2023-06-17 | Won |
| 1046 | 1027 | 53% | 2023-05-16 | Won |
| 1228 | 1032 | 76% | 2023-04-13 | Won |
| 1189 | 959 | 79% | 2023-03-10 | Won |
| 929 | 1004 | 39% | 2023-02-26 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1003 | 61% | 2023-01-16 | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1070.6 vs 988.5 has a 61.6% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).