Lost Opportunities
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 39 (14 on the archive and 25 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 27
Defender wins (American): 10
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (American): 0
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (American): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1009 | 852 | 71% | 2025-06-20 | Won |
| 1037 | 1061 | 47% | 2025-01-19 | Won |
| 942 | 743 | 76% | 2024-03-07 | Lost |
| 1118 | 914 | 76% | 2024-02-27 | Won |
| 1031 | 1010 | 53% | 2024-02-11 | Won |
| 1073 | 1073 | 50% | 2023-12-20 | Won |
| 1045 | 999 | 57% | 2023-11-04 | Won |
| 1045 | 864 | 74% | 2023-08-24 | Won |
| 1115 | 1115 | 50% | 2023-06-17 | Won |
| 1032 | 1035 | 50% | 2023-05-16 | Won |
| 1204 | 1032 | 73% | 2023-04-13 | Won |
| 1172 | 1010 | 72% | 2023-03-10 | Won |
| 977 | 1004 | 46% | 2023-02-26 | Lost |
| 1082 | 1003 | 61% | 2023-01-16 | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1063 vs 979.6 has a 61.77% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).