Lost Opportunities
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 45 (17 on the archive and 28 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 21
Defender wins (American): 22
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (American): 0
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (American): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1066 | 926 | 69% | 2026-01-16 | Won |
| 966 | 1063 | 36% | 2025-11-02 | Won |
| 993 | 1113 | 33% | 2025-10-16 | Lost |
| 1047 | 875 | 73% | 2025-06-20 | Won |
| 1038 | 993 | 56% | 2025-01-19 | Won |
| 942 | 756 | 74% | 2024-03-07 | Lost |
| 1040 | 1002 | 55% | 2024-02-27 | Won |
| 1031 | 1012 | 53% | 2024-02-11 | Won |
| 1105 | 1082 | 53% | 2023-12-20 | Won |
| 1037 | 1007 | 54% | 2023-11-04 | Won |
| 1032 | 849 | 74% | 2023-08-24 | Won |
| 1125 | 1159 | 45% | 2023-06-17 | Won |
| 1046 | 1049 | 50% | 2023-05-16 | Won |
| 1218 | 985 | 79% | 2023-04-13 | Won |
| 1165 | 1012 | 71% | 2023-03-10 | Won |
| 947 | 1003 | 42% | 2023-02-26 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1003 | 54% | 2023-01-16 | Won |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1048.6 vs 993.5 has a 57.87% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).