Lost Opportunities
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 43 (16 on the archive and 27 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 20
Defender wins (American): 21
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (American): 0
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (American): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 966 | 1019 | 42% | 2025-11-02 | Won |
| 972 | 1164 | 25% | 2025-10-16 | Lost |
| 994 | 875 | 66% | 2025-06-20 | Won |
| 1037 | 1053 | 48% | 2025-01-19 | Won |
| 942 | 755 | 75% | 2024-03-07 | Lost |
| 1073 | 997 | 61% | 2024-02-27 | Won |
| 1030 | 936 | 63% | 2024-02-11 | Won |
| 1082 | 1082 | 50% | 2023-12-20 | Won |
| 996 | 1047 | 43% | 2023-11-04 | Won |
| 1062 | 854 | 77% | 2023-08-24 | Won |
| 1143 | 1174 | 46% | 2023-06-17 | Won |
| 1037 | 1032 | 51% | 2023-05-16 | Won |
| 1188 | 1001 | 75% | 2023-04-13 | Won |
| 1184 | 936 | 81% | 2023-03-10 | Won |
| 954 | 1003 | 43% | 2023-02-26 | Lost |
| 1082 | 1003 | 61% | 2023-01-16 | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1046.4 vs 995.7 has a 57.24% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).