Raff's Dilemma
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 36 (8 on the archive and 28 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 18
Defender wins (German): 18
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1109 | 1310 | 24% | 2025-06-05 | Won |
| 1009 | 1050 | 44% | 2024-09-19 | Lost |
| 940 | 1140 | 24% | 2024-06-05 | Lost |
| 972 | 929 | 56% | 2024-06-02 | Won |
| 1149 | 1137 | 52% | 2024-02-20 | Won |
| 950 | 1036 | 38% | 2023-05-27 | Lost |
| 903 | 903 | 50% | 2023-05-08 | Lost |
| 1189 | 1005 | 74% | 2023-04-16 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1027.6 vs 1063.8 has a 44.82% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).