Raff's Dilemma
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 50 (14 on the archive and 36 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 24
Defender wins (German): 26
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1041 | 1012 | 54% | 2025-12-17 | Lost |
| 995 | 1116 | 33% | 2025-11-05 | Lost |
| 965 | 965 | 50% | 2025-08-06 | Lost |
| 989 | 989 | 50% | 2025-08-06 | Lost |
| 875 | 997 | 33% | 2025-07-17 | Lost |
| 875 | 997 | 33% | 2025-07-10 | Lost |
| 1157 | 1252 | 37% | 2025-06-05 | Won |
| 1026 | 1032 | 49% | 2024-09-19 | Lost |
| 986 | 1075 | 37% | 2024-06-05 | Lost |
| 966 | 962 | 51% | 2024-06-02 | Won |
| 1117 | 1158 | 44% | 2024-02-20 | Won |
| 1054 | 1045 | 51% | 2023-05-27 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2023-05-08 | Lost |
| 1260 | 980 | 83% | 2023-04-16 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1021.9 vs 1041.4 has a 47.19% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).