Raff's Dilemma
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 34 (7 on the archive and 27 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 16
Defender wins (German): 18
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1022 | 1050 | 46% | 2024-09-19 | Lost |
| 941 | 1097 | 29% | 2024-06-05 | Lost |
| 972 | 964 | 51% | 2024-06-02 | Won |
| 1111 | 1106 | 51% | 2024-02-20 | Won |
| 986 | 1029 | 44% | 2023-05-27 | Lost |
| 913 | 928 | 48% | 2023-05-08 | Lost |
| 1209 | 1061 | 70% | 2023-04-16 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1022 vs 1033.6 has a 48.34% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).