Raff's Dilemma
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 43 (12 on the archive and 31 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 18
Defender wins (German): 25
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1016 | 1016 | 50% | 2025-08-06 | Lost |
| 982 | 982 | 50% | 2025-08-06 | Lost |
| 852 | 1021 | 27% | 2025-07-17 | Lost |
| 852 | 1021 | 27% | 2025-07-10 | Lost |
| 1111 | 1313 | 24% | 2025-06-05 | Won |
| 1025 | 1050 | 46% | 2024-09-19 | Lost |
| 914 | 1118 | 24% | 2024-06-05 | Lost |
| 972 | 977 | 49% | 2024-06-02 | Won |
| 1156 | 1137 | 53% | 2024-02-20 | Won |
| 1010 | 1037 | 46% | 2023-05-27 | Lost |
| 909 | 886 | 53% | 2023-05-08 | Lost |
| 1157 | 1010 | 70% | 2023-04-16 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 996.3 vs 1047.3 has a 42.71% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).