Raff's Dilemma
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 46 (13 on the archive and 33 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 23
Defender wins (German): 23
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 949 | 1178 | 21% | 2025-11-05 | Lost |
| 1013 | 997 | 52% | 2025-08-06 | Lost |
| 989 | 989 | 50% | 2025-08-06 | Lost |
| 875 | 997 | 33% | 2025-07-17 | Lost |
| 875 | 997 | 33% | 2025-07-10 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1333 | 20% | 2025-06-05 | Won |
| 1023 | 1050 | 46% | 2024-09-19 | Lost |
| 953 | 1050 | 36% | 2024-06-05 | Lost |
| 966 | 962 | 51% | 2024-06-02 | Won |
| 1171 | 1137 | 55% | 2024-02-20 | Won |
| 998 | 1002 | 49% | 2023-05-27 | Lost |
| 973 | 950 | 53% | 2023-05-08 | Lost |
| 1195 | 805 | 90% | 2023-04-16 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1005.8 vs 1034.4 has a 45.9% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).