Raff's Dilemma
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 48 (14 on the archive and 34 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 24
Defender wins (German): 24
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1041 | 1028 | 52% | 2025-12-17 | Lost |
| 972 | 1164 | 25% | 2025-11-05 | Lost |
| 996 | 995 | 50% | 2025-08-06 | Lost |
| 989 | 989 | 50% | 2025-08-06 | Lost |
| 875 | 997 | 33% | 2025-07-17 | Lost |
| 875 | 997 | 33% | 2025-07-10 | Lost |
| 1090 | 1340 | 19% | 2025-06-05 | Won |
| 1022 | 1050 | 46% | 2024-09-19 | Lost |
| 1012 | 1073 | 41% | 2024-06-05 | Lost |
| 966 | 962 | 51% | 2024-06-02 | Won |
| 1123 | 1158 | 45% | 2024-02-20 | Won |
| 1053 | 1037 | 52% | 2023-05-27 | Lost |
| 950 | 950 | 50% | 2023-05-08 | Lost |
| 1169 | 986 | 74% | 2023-04-16 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1009.5 vs 1051.9 has a 43.93% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).