Raff's Distress
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 24 (8 on the archive and 18 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 16
Defender wins (German): 8
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 2
Attacker wins (American): 0
Defender wins (German): 2
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 908 | 1080 | 27% | 2026-01-20 | | Lost |
| 975 | 1123 | 30% | 2025-11-10 | | Lost |
| 1080 | 977 | 64% | 2024-07-17 | | Won |
| 1021 | 1017 | 51% | 2024-01-23 | A | Lost |
| 1021 | 1017 | 51% | 2024-01-17 | A | Lost |
| 1102 | 1079 | 53% | 2023-06-19 | | Lost |
| 972 | 1218 | 20% | 2023-05-02 | | Lost |
| 1192 | 1000 | 75% | 2023-04-23 | | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1033.9 vs 1063.9 has a 45.69% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).