Bear Valley
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 8 (5 on the archive and 3 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 4
Defender wins (Native American): 4
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1080 | 1190 | 35% | 2025-01-28 | Won |
| 1017 | 1016 | 50% | 2024-10-22 | Won |
| 953 | 1263 | 14% | 2024-01-26 | Lost |
| 1003 | 769 | 79% | 2024-01-25 | Won |
| 1048 | 960 | 62% | 2023-05-07 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1020.2 vs 1039.6 has a 47.21% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).