Bear Valley
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 7 (4 on the archive and 3 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 4
Defender wins (Native American): 3
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1089 | 1014 | 61% | 2025-01-28 | Won |
| 1098 | 1098 | 50% | 2024-10-22 | Won |
| 1028 | 779 | 81% | 2024-01-25 | Won |
| 986 | 1021 | 45% | 2023-05-07 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1050.3 vs 978 has a 60.25% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).