Bear Valley
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 8 (5 on the archive and 3 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 5
Defender wins (Native American): 3
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1058 | 1000 | 58% | 2025-01-28 | | Won |
| 1098 | 1000 | 64% | 2024-10-22 | | Won |
| 953 | 1242 | 16% | 2024-01-26 | | Lost |
| 1060 | 745 | 86% | 2024-01-25 | | Won |
| 1117 | 1097 | 53% | 2023-05-07 | | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1057.2 vs 1016.8 has a 55.79% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).