Road To Merdjayoun
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 12 (4 on the archive and 8 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Vichy): 8
Defender wins (British): 4
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1199 | 1219 | 47% | 2025-11-15 | Won |
| 954 | 1263 | 14% | 2025-04-02 | Lost |
| 1243 | 980 | 82% | 2023-09-14 | Lost |
| 982 | 982 | 50% | 2023-05-03 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1094.5 vs 1111 has a 47.63% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).