Shoot or Shovel
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 61 (18 on the archive and 43 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 34
Defender wins (American (USMC)): 27
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1042 | 1097 | 42% | 2025-09-29 | Won |
| 1199 | 989 | 77% | 2025-08-19 | Won |
| 1184 | 1238 | 42% | 2025-06-11 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1049 | 48% | 2025-06-06 | Lost |
| 1238 | 1008 | 79% | 2025-05-16 | Won |
| 869 | 917 | 43% | 2025-01-05 | Won |
| 869 | 878 | 49% | 2024-12-29 | Won |
| 1077 | 1024 | 58% | 2024-12-01 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1081 | 42% | 2024-08-02 | Won |
| 1210 | 1097 | 66% | 2024-07-01 | Lost |
| 982 | 983 | 50% | 2024-05-11 | Won |
| 1012 | 851 | 72% | 2024-03-04 | Won |
| 1031 | 1264 | 21% | 2024-01-23 | Lost |
| 1108 | 900 | 77% | 2023-10-26 | Won |
| 1054 | 1054 | 50% | 2023-10-19 | Lost |
| 869 | 1000 | 32% | 2023-10-05 | Won |
| 1176 | 1073 | 64% | 2023-07-01 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1120 | 41% | 2023-06-22 | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1057.8 vs 1034.6 has a 53.34% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).