Shoot or Shovel
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 59 (18 on the archive and 41 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 33
Defender wins (American (USMC)): 26
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1109 | 1185 | 39% | 2025-09-29 | Won |
| 1212 | 1027 | 74% | 2025-08-19 | Won |
| 1183 | 1206 | 47% | 2025-06-11 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1038 | 50% | 2025-06-06 | Lost |
| 1206 | 994 | 77% | 2025-05-16 | Won |
| 881 | 917 | 45% | 2025-01-05 | Won |
| 869 | 878 | 49% | 2024-12-29 | Won |
| 1077 | 1011 | 59% | 2024-12-01 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1082 | 40% | 2024-08-02 | Won |
| 1156 | 1185 | 46% | 2024-07-01 | Lost |
| 982 | 1029 | 43% | 2024-05-11 | Won |
| 1002 | 889 | 66% | 2024-03-04 | Won |
| 1010 | 1185 | 27% | 2024-01-23 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1015 | 49% | 2023-10-26 | Won |
| 1148 | 1211 | 41% | 2023-10-19 | Lost |
| 881 | 1013 | 32% | 2023-10-05 | Won |
| 1189 | 1084 | 65% | 2023-07-01 | Lost |
| 1054 | 1122 | 40% | 2023-06-22 | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1056.6 vs 1059.5 has a 49.58% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).