Shoot or Shovel
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 59 (18 on the archive and 41 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 33
Defender wins (American (USMC)): 26
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1041 | 1096 | 42% | 2025-09-29 | Won |
| 1199 | 1013 | 74% | 2025-08-19 | Won |
| 1184 | 1255 | 40% | 2025-06-11 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1068 | 46% | 2025-06-06 | Lost |
| 1255 | 1008 | 81% | 2025-05-16 | Won |
| 869 | 917 | 43% | 2025-01-05 | Won |
| 869 | 878 | 49% | 2024-12-29 | Won |
| 1077 | 1024 | 58% | 2024-12-01 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1081 | 40% | 2024-08-02 | Won |
| 1186 | 1096 | 63% | 2024-07-01 | Lost |
| 982 | 1024 | 44% | 2024-05-11 | Won |
| 1002 | 879 | 67% | 2024-03-04 | Won |
| 1045 | 1283 | 20% | 2024-01-23 | Lost |
| 1049 | 992 | 58% | 2023-10-26 | Won |
| 1058 | 1138 | 39% | 2023-10-19 | Lost |
| 869 | 982 | 34% | 2023-10-05 | Won |
| 1204 | 1073 | 68% | 2023-07-01 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1123 | 40% | 2023-06-22 | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1055.1 vs 1051.7 has a 50.5% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).