Shoot or Shovel
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 78 (22 on the archive and 56 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 39
Defender wins (American (USMC)): 39
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1064 | 1084 | 47% | 2026-06-15 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1032 | 45% | 2026-05-02 | | Lost |
| 1020 | 1000 | 53% | 2026-04-08 | | Lost |
| 1007 | 1000 | 51% | 2025-09-29 | | Won |
| 1229 | 997 | 79% | 2025-08-19 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1150 | 30% | 2025-06-11 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1040 | 44% | 2025-06-06 | | Lost |
| 1150 | 1051 | 64% | 2025-05-16 | | Won |
| 864 | 1000 | 31% | 2025-01-05 | | Won |
| 1000 | 878 | 67% | 2024-12-29 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1018 | 47% | 2024-12-01 | | Lost |
| 974 | 1014 | 44% | 2024-08-02 | | Won |
| 1171 | 1000 | 73% | 2024-07-01 | | Lost |
| 1005 | 1033 | 46% | 2024-05-11 | | Won |
| 1041 | 907 | 68% | 2024-05-11 | | Lost |
| 999 | 834 | 72% | 2024-03-04 | | Won |
| 1032 | 1242 | 23% | 2024-01-23 | | Lost |
| 1111 | 1089 | 53% | 2023-10-26 | | Won |
| 1143 | 1000 | 69% | 2023-10-19 | | Lost |
| 864 | 949 | 38% | 2023-10-05 | | Won |
| 1159 | 1092 | 60% | 2023-07-01 | | Lost |
| 1056 | 1120 | 41% | 2023-06-22 | | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1040.4 vs 1024.1 has a 52.35% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).