Bowden's Wood
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 57 (23 on the archive and 34 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 27
Defender wins (American): 28
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 2
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 0
Defender wins (American): 2
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1112 | 1113 | 50% | 2025-04-05 | Lost |
| 1142 | 1196 | 42% | 2024-09-22 | Lost |
| 1035 | 1029 | 51% | 2024-08-26 | Lost |
| 1139 | 1046 | 63% | 2024-08-24 | Lost |
| 1047 | 1082 | 45% | 2024-08-02 | Lost |
| 1185 | 945 | 80% | 2024-07-03 | Won |
| 1032 | 991 | 56% | 2024-06-22 | Lost |
| 1035 | 1014 | 53% | 2024-05-08 | Won |
| 1087 | 1139 | 43% | 2024-03-21 | Lost |
| 877 | 882 | 49% | 2024-03-05 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1070 | 44% | 2024-03-03 | Lost |
| 1051 | 1088 | 45% | 2024-03-03 | Lost |
| 1155 | 1026 | 68% | 2024-03-01 | Lost |
| 872 | 1203 | 13% | 2024-02-21 | Lost |
| 875 | 997 | 33% | 2024-02-01 | Won |
| 1185 | 1050 | 69% | 2024-01-04 | Won |
| 1169 | 1065 | 65% | 2023-12-29 | Won |
| 1028 | 1005 | 53% | 2023-11-03 | Lost |
| 1024 | 1125 | 36% | 2023-10-14 | Lost |
| 949 | 1106 | 29% | 2023-10-06 | Lost |
| 1185 | 991 | 75% | 2023-08-17 | Won |
| 1180 | 1021 | 71% | 2023-07-13 | Lost |
| 991 | 1149 | 29% | 2023-07-03 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1060.1 vs 1058 has a 50.31% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).