Bowden's Wood
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 58 (24 on the archive and 34 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 20
Defender wins (American): 36
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 2
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 0
Defender wins (American): 2
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1038 | 1023 | 52% | 2026-04-07 | Won |
| 1088 | 1113 | 46% | 2025-04-05 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1221 | 40% | 2024-09-22 | Lost |
| 976 | 999 | 47% | 2024-08-26 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1019 | 52% | 2024-08-24 | Lost |
| 1026 | 1031 | 49% | 2024-08-02 | Lost |
| 1185 | 1000 | 74% | 2024-07-03 | Won |
| 1031 | 1021 | 51% | 2024-06-22 | Lost |
| 976 | 999 | 47% | 2024-05-08 | Won |
| 1087 | 1102 | 48% | 2024-03-21 | Lost |
| 924 | 869 | 58% | 2024-03-05 | Lost |
| 1051 | 1088 | 45% | 2024-03-03 | Lost |
| 1063 | 1087 | 47% | 2024-03-03 | Lost |
| 1145 | 1077 | 60% | 2024-03-01 | Lost |
| 907 | 1099 | 25% | 2024-02-21 | Lost |
| 865 | 984 | 34% | 2024-02-01 | Won |
| 1185 | 1070 | 66% | 2024-01-04 | Won |
| 1193 | 1146 | 57% | 2023-12-29 | Won |
| 1060 | 993 | 60% | 2023-11-03 | Lost |
| 969 | 1223 | 19% | 2023-10-14 | Lost |
| 949 | 1120 | 27% | 2023-10-06 | Lost |
| 1185 | 1021 | 72% | 2023-08-17 | Won |
| 1218 | 972 | 80% | 2023-07-13 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1128 | 35% | 2023-07-03 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1055.2 vs 1058.5 has a 49.52% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).