Bowden's Wood
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 14 (13 on the archive and 1 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 5
Defender wins (American): 9
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
932 | 949 | 48% | 2024-03-05 | Lost |
941 | 1016 | 39% | 2024-03-03 | Lost |
1087 | 1092 | 49% | 2024-03-03 | Lost |
1065 | 1058 | 51% | 2024-03-01 | Lost |
916 | 1109 | 25% | 2024-02-21 | Lost |
881 | 1013 | 32% | 2024-02-01 | Won |
925 | 1031 | 35% | 2024-01-04 | Won |
1156 | 1008 | 70% | 2023-12-29 | Won |
1083 | 1003 | 61% | 2023-11-03 | Lost |
1026 | 1000 | 54% | 2023-10-14 | Lost |
925 | 971 | 43% | 2023-08-17 | Won |
1216 | 1058 | 71% | 2023-07-13 | Lost |
971 | 1010 | 44% | 2023-07-03 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1009.5 vs 1024.5 has a 47.85% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).