Buckley's Chance
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 10
Attacker wins (Japanese): 5
Defender wins (Australian): 5
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1029 | 1182 | 29% | 2025-12-15 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 902 | 64% | 2025-04-26 | | Lost |
| 1040 | 1000 | 56% | 2024-03-01 | | Won |
| 1040 | 932 | 65% | 2024-01-27 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1022 | 47% | 2024-01-07 | | Won |
| 1036 | 1034 | 50% | 2023-12-02 | | Lost |
| 928 | 891 | 55% | 2023-12-02 | | Won |
| 1002 | 1242 | 20% | 2023-11-11 | | Lost |
| 1167 | 1079 | 62% | 2023-11-04 | | Lost |
| 1069 | 1214 | 30% | 2023-09-07 | | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1031.1 vs 1049.8 has a 47.31% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).