Buckley's Chance
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 9 (7 on the archive and 2 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 5
Defender wins (Australian): 4
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
941 | 994 | 42% | 2024-03-01 | Won |
941 | 920 | 53% | 2024-01-27 | Won |
981 | 981 | 50% | 2024-01-07 | Won |
1087 | 1025 | 59% | 2023-12-02 | Lost |
1142 | 1096 | 57% | 2023-11-04 | Lost |
1209 | 1197 | 52% | 2023-09-07 | Won |
925 | 971 | 43% | 2023-08-20 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1032.3 vs 1026.3 has a 50.86% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).