The First Approach
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 4 (2 on the archive and 2 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 2
Defender wins (New Zealand): 2
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1068 | 1068 | 50% | 2025-11-26 | Won |
| 982 | 999 | 48% | 2024-04-15 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1025 vs 1033.5 has a 48.78% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).