A Bit of Colored Ribbon
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 4 (3 on the archive and 1 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Vichy French): 3
Defender wins (Thai): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 752 | 1221 | 6% | 2024-08-19 | Lost |
| 1032 | 893 | 69% | 2024-07-19 | Won |
| 1026 | 1052 | 46% | 2023-12-16 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 936.7 vs 1055.3 has a 33.56% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).